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The ROI Horizon: Navigating the Transition from AI Deployment to Enterprise Value

Addressing the challenges of accelerating AI investment and agent deployment, KPMG US tackles the question of why so many organizations are still struggling to realize returns despite surging spending. KPMG’s position is that execution—not capital or technology—now determines outcomes, with workforce readiness, governance, and operating models acting as the true constraints on AI value.

April 24, 2026
CENTRAL QUESTION

Why is scaling AI value harder than proving it?

This question has become unavoidable because the AI conversation has moved decisively past funding debates and pilot programs. Organizations are now committing serious capital to AI, with U.S. organizations projecting an average of $207 million in AI spending over the next 12 months, nearly double the prior year, while AI agents have crossed from experimentation into day‑to‑day operations.

At the same time, the gap between deployment and outcomes is widening. Sixty‑five percent of organizations now cite difficulty scaling AI use cases, nearly double the prior quarter, and 62% point to skills gaps as a barrier to demonstrating ROI. In other words, investment and deployment are no longer the limiting factors. Execution is.

Insight
KPMG AI Quarterly Pulse Survey
Enterprises shift from AI experimentation to large-scale production in 2026

Why It’s Harder Than It Looks

Turning AI agents into consistent business performance is difficult because deploying technology is easier than redesigning how work actually gets done. AI agents increasingly sit across functions, route decisions, and automate workflows, but most organizations still operate with structures, incentives, and accountability models designed for human‑only work.

The challenge compounds as agents move deeper into core operations. As reliance grows, questions of trust, control, and responsibility become operational issues, not abstract governance concerns. Leaders must decide who owns outcomes when humans direct agents, agents act autonomously within defined bounds, and decisions span multiple teams—decisions many organizations have not previously been forced to make.

The Evidence

1

U.S. organizations project average AI spending of $207 million over the next 12 months, nearly double the prior year, according to the KPMG Q1 2026 AI Pulse. Source: Fortune

2

Fifty‑four percent of organizations are actively deploying AI agents today, up from 12% in 2024 and 33% by Q2 2024, according to the same survey. Source: Fortune

3

Sixty‑five percent of organizations report difficulty scaling AI use cases, up from 33% last quarter, limiting ROI realization. Source: Fortune

4

Sixty‑two percent cite skills gaps as a top barrier to demonstrating AI ROI, while 76% identify skills gaps as the primary source of employee resistance to AI agents. Source: Fortune

5

Ninety‑one percent of leaders say data security, privacy, and risk will influence their AI strategies over the next six months, reflecting governance as a prerequisite for scale. Source: Fortune
News
Investment and AI Agent Deployment Surge as Execution Becomes the Differentiator
Capital continues to flow into AI, with organizations projecting average AI spending of $207 million over the next 12 months, nearly double figures from the same period last year, according to the KPMG US Q1 AI Quarterly Pulse.

KPMG’s Answer

KPMG’s position is that AI returns are no longer constrained by ambition, capital, or access to technology—they are constrained by execution across people, governance, and operating models. 

As AI agents move into production, value depends on whether organizations can reengineer work at enterprise scale, not just deploy tools.

The Pulse data shows that AI agents are already coordinating work across functions, routing decisions, and supporting shared knowledge, yet organizations are still structured around fragmented ownership and unclear accountability. Without clearly defined human‑led oversight, decision rights, and escalation paths, agents accelerate activity without accelerating outcomes.

Governance is now inseparable from performance. Requirements for human validation of agent outputs have nearly tripled year over year (63% now require human validation, up from 22% in Q1 2025), signaling that trust and control are operational necessities. Organizations that treat governance as an early‑stage checkbox struggle to scale, while those that embed risk, security, and accountability into everyday workflows create the conditions for sustained AI performance.

What This Means for You

Treat AI execution as an operating‑model redesign, not a technology rollout. Leaders should map where AI agents sit in workflows, who is accountable for outcomes, and how decisions move across teams before scaling deployment.

Prioritize workforce readiness alongside investment decisions. Upskilling, role clarity, and human‑agent oversight are now gating factors for ROI, and delaying them increases the risk that AI spend outpaces results.

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Steve Chase
Global Head & US Vice Chair – AI & Digital Innovation, KPMG LLP

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