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KPMG Consumer Pulse: Using AI to find savings, consumers plan to treat themselves this holiday season

  • For the fourth consecutive year, more than half of consumers (57%) plan to shop for themselves
  • Thirty-seven percent plan to use AI to compare prices across retailers
October 21, 2026

NEW YORK, October 21, 2026 – Shoppers expect to spend an average of $783 this season, up 5% from what consumers say they spent last year, according to a new consumer pulse survey released by KPMG LLP, the U.S. audit, tax, and advisory firm.

The increase comes as consumers adapt how they shop and how they pay. As borrowing costs remain elevated, consumers are shifting away from credit cards – the preferred payment method in last year’s survey. Debit cards now lead as consumers' preferred payment method (73%, up from 65% last year), while nearly one in four buy-now-pay-later users expect it to fund more than 21% of their holiday purchases.

"Consumers are entering the holiday season determined to spend, but they're also determined to get the most value from every dollar. They're spending more on gifts, booking experiences, and treating themselves, while increasingly using AI to compare prices and find the best deals,” said Duleep Rodrigo, KPMG Americas Sector Leader, Consumer, Retail & Hospitality. “For retailers, success will come from delivering a compelling combination of relevance, convenience, and clear value rather than simply competing on price."

 

Key Findings

For the fourth consecutive year, over half of consumers plan to purchase gifts for themselves during the holiday season.

  • Fifty-seven percent of consumers plan to shop for themselves this holiday season.
  • Self-spending is expected to reach an average of $354, up 18% from what consumers report spending on themselves last year.
  • Among “self-gifters,” 67% cite treating or rewarding themselves as a primary motivation.
  • More than half (54%) say holiday sales and promotions are driving self-purchases.

“Self-gifting has become a durable part of holiday spending behavior,” said Julia Wilson, KPMG U.S. Principal, Consumer & Retail Strategy. “Even as households remain mindful of budgets, many are setting aside spending for purchases that feel rewarding, practical, or personally meaningful. Retailers that can connect with those motivations and clearly communicate value will be best positioned to capture this demand.”

Consumers are spending on holiday travel, opting for longer stays and more premium experiences.

  • Consumers expect to spend an average of $798 on holiday travel this year, up 8% from 2025.
  • Forty percent of consumers increasing travel spending cite longer trip durations as the primary driver.
  • Thirty-four percent point to plans to stay in luxury hotels and resorts.
  • Nearly half of households earning more than $200,000 plan to spend more than $1,000 on holiday travel.

“Consumers are not trading down when it comes to travel this holiday season. Many are doing the opposite, choosing longer vacations and premium accommodations that feel special and memorable,” said Braden Mark, KPMG U.S. Principal, Travel, Leisure & Hospitality. “The opportunity for the entire travel ecosystem is to demonstrate why a specific experience deserves a larger share of consumers' discretionary spending rather than simply competing on price."

Shoppers put AI to work to uncover savings, compare prices, and stretch their budgets further.

  • Holiday spending is rising, but so is deal-seeking. Forty-five percent of consumers plan to spend more on gifts this season, while many are leveraging AI tools to find savings and maximize purchasing power.
  • Thirty-seven percent of consumers plan to use AI to compare prices across retailers and 33% plan to use AI to find discounts or promotions.

"AI has made consumers better equipped than ever to make informed decisions about where and how they spend, using these tools to compare prices, uncover promotions, and evaluate products before making a purchase,” said Duleep Rodrigo, KPMG Americas Sector Leader, Consumer, Retail & Hospitality. “The companies that will succeed this holiday season will be the ones using data and analytics to differentiate where consumers will accept higher prices, where brand perception is strongest, and where protecting volume matters most through promotions.”

About the KPMG Consumer Pulse Holiday 2026 Survey

The KPMG Consumer Pulse Holiday 2026 survey is based on a survey of 2,005 consumers across the U.S. surveyed from September 10-25, 2026.

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP is the U.S. member firm of the KPMG global organization of independent member firms providing audit, tax and advisory services. The KPMG global organization operates in 138 countries and territories and has more than 276,000 people working in member firms around the world. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. KPMG International Limited is a private English company limited by guarantee. KPMG International Limited and its related entities do not provide services to clients.

KPMG is widely recognized for being a great place to work and build a career. Our people share a sense of purpose in the work we do, and a strong commitment to increasing access to education and opportunity, advancing mental health, and supporting community vitality. Learn more at http://www.kpmg.com/us.

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For media inquiries, contact Grace Langella (glangella@kpmg.com / 201-212-7857)

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