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Construction spending rebounded in October

Public construction spending inched up 0.1%.

January 21, 2026

Construction spending rose 0.5% in October after falling 0.6% in September. The data releases were delayed due to the government shutdown that ended on November 12. Compared to a year ago, construction spending fell 1% in October. Data are not adjusted for inflation; construction costs excluding labor jumped 2.7% compared to October of last year and have been reaccelerating since May 2025.

Private residential construction soared 1.3% in just the month of October on stronger home improvement projects. Single-family and multifamily construction both lost ground for the month and compared to a year ago. Demand for single-family homes is hampered by still-high mortgage rates while rising job insecurity is keeping potential buyers sidelined. Builders have taken notice; they remain pessimistic about housing construction. New multifamily construction has slowed due to a significant supply of apartments coming on line in many parts of the country that is pushing down rents. That trend recently reversed; multifamily permits have started to show a pickup compared to year-ago levels. We expect to see more apartment construction activity in 2026.

Private nonresidential construction slipped 0.2% in October on weaker office, healthcare, communication and manufacturing infrastructure. Data centers, included in the office category, continued to hit new record spending levels in October; all other office categories continued their downward trend. In the third quarter, real private nonresidential structures investment fell for the seventh quarter in a row, remaining a drag on overall economic growth.

Manufacturing construction hit many records in 2024 but has since been on a downward trend, especially in computer, electronic and electrical infrastructure (this includes semiconductor manufacturing plants). Spending on manufacturing construction has fallen for nine consecutive months; manufacturing employment lost 68,000 jobs in 2025.

Public construction spending inched up 0.1% in October. The bulk of spending occurs at the state and local government levels, which gained 0.3% on the month; healthcare, educational facilities, water supply and conservation and development construction posted gains. Federal spending fell 2%.

Construction wages as reported in the employment cost index rose 4.1% in the third quarter compared to the same time a year ago. That is higher than the overall private sector rate of 3.6% and shows pay is rising faster in construction as labor shortages remain a concern for builders. 

Higher costs and tighter labor markets are keeping a lid on a broader construction rebound.

photo of Yelena Maleyev

Yelena Maleyev

KPMG Senior Economist

Bottom Line

Construction spending has steadied but the cost environment is squeezing margins. Prices for key materials like steel, aluminum and electrical equipment are rising, driven by tariffs and heavy demand from data centers. At the same time, builders are struggling to find workers. That problem is likely to worsen as immigration slows and the workforce ages. Even with pockets of strength, especially in data centers and power infrastructure, higher costs and tighter labor markets are keeping a lid on a broader construction rebound.

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Yelena Maleyev
Senior Economist, KPMG Economics, KPMG US

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