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2024 U.S. Banking Industry Outlook Survey

Future-proofing banking: The enterprise transformation imperative

"When in doubt, choose change"

U.S. banks face a difficult growth environment due to compounding macro- and microeconomic headwinds, geopolitical instability, intensifying regulatory scrutiny, and other near-term challenges putting pressures on earnings. At this critical juncture, the KPMG national banking practice sees significant opportunity for banks to choose change—embark on an accelerated journey of enterprise-wide transformation.

The U.S. Banking Industry Outlook Survey captures the challenges and opportunities faced by the banking sector amidst economic, regulatory, and technological disruptions, from 200 banking executives surveyed on their views on current industry trends and topics in March 2024.

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Explore the 2024 Banking Industry Survey results

Discover insights on the trends that are shaping the industry's present and future and key takeaways banking executives should consider.

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Key Insights

2/3

are confident in their banks’ growth prospects

59%

of respondents believe profitability will grow inorganically

50%

are making significant strategic adjustments in response to geopolitical uncertainty

52%

of CEOs respondents believe profitability will grow through cost transformation

65%

say GenAI is an integral part of their institution’s long-term vision and strategy

80%

think regulatory supervision and enforcement in the area of cyber risk will increase

The path to growth for banks is accelerating their enterprise transformation to be the bank of the future. Modern technology platforms are the foundation, allowing banks to leverage the latest technologies to enhance operational efficiency, customer retention and attraction, and resilience through the next wave of challenges.

Peter Torrente

US Sector Leader, Banking and Capital Markets, KPMG LLP

Growth expected despite compound volatility

The industry has been facing a confluence of pressure on earnings: high interest rates, low stock prices, credit uncertainty, a slow M&A market, geopolitical conflicts disrupting world markets, unprecedented regulatory scrutiny, and impending regulatory uncertainty following the U.S. presidential election.

Yet, there are signs of a brighter future ahead, especially among larger, growing banking institutions. Our survey finds bank executives, as a whole, relatively confident in the growth outlook of the banking sector.

How confident are you in the growth prospects of your organization over the coming year?

Economic and geopolitical risks persist

As the year progresses, executives will keep an eye on several other factors affecting earnings. The upside-down interest rate environment and declining loan market are foremost concerns. As a threat to growth, interest rate risk trailed only cybersecurity risk, which has been top of mind across the financial services community in recent year.

Which of the following risks poses the greatest threat to your bank's growth over the next 3 years? (select top 3)

Refining the multichannel customer experience

Meeting the unique needs and preferences of customers is paramount to success in today’s digital world. The top investment priorities for banks in 2024 highlight the sector’s fixation on enhancing the customer experience to keep up with changing expectations, with banks striving to optimize and refine their multichannel approach in a fast-moving market.

What digital channels are being prioritized for investment in 2024? (select all that apply)

Establishing security, privacy and trust

Banks are prioritizing cybersecurity and data protection accordingly in their digital transformation efforts. Although a significant majority of respondents expressed confidence in cybersecurity and data protection—78 percent believed they are adequately equipped to protect customer data, privacy, and assets in the event of a cyber-attack—more than half of banks (55 percent) are increasing their budget to address cyber risk. Many are even turning to the most disruptive tool of the day—generative artificial intelligence—to help boost security of systems and data. Sixty percent of banks have a GenAI-enabled cybersecurity solution in pilot of production phase.

Unlocking the power of GenAI

The banking sector recognizes the extraordinary promise of GenAI in shaping their future strategies and remaining competitive. As a general trend, banks have stopped seeing GenAI a proof of concept and started seeing it as a capability.

Many banks are actively exploring and implementing GenAI for a diverse range of use cases, with some of the most common applications directly correlated to current top agenda items for industry—cybersecurity (67 percent), fraud (51 percent) and compliance and risk (41 percent). As budgets and resources to fight cybercrime, protect data and customers, and comply with intensifying regulatory requirements have skyrocketed, banks executives are looking to GenAI as a potential solution.

Which active use cases for Gen AI does your organization have in pilot or production phases?

Steps you can take to establish a standout ESG M&A due diligence program:

1

Identify your motivation for the program

2

Develop a clear ESG strategy

3

Secure appropriate resources and assign responsibilities

4

Collaborate with external experts

5

Link ESG M&A due diligence to ESG strategy

6

Develop your ESG M&A due diligence framework

7

Perform ESG M&A due diligence procedures

8

Link ESG M&A due diligence findings to post-closing actions

9

Monitor and report findings to stakeholders

10

Continuously improve the due diligence process

Modernizing the payments ecosystem

ISO 20022 continues to be the burning platform in the U.S. and the biggest watershed moment in payments globally, as this move to a single common global business language for financial messaging for high value payments is a mandate for all financial institutions across the globe. U.S. banks are focused on meeting the March 2025 industry mandate for Fedwire (the Federal Reserve’s U.S. network for high value wire payments) and SWIFT’s November 2025 deadline for cross-border payments.

How does your organization generally view the ISO 20022 Compliance Mandate?

Regulatory intensity dominates resources and attention

In today’s rapidly evolving banking landscape, regulation and compliance are critical areas of focus for banking executives, with a wide range of rules requiring resources and attention beyond what the sector has dealt with in the past.

How will regulatory supervision and enforcement activity change in the following areas over the next 12 months?

How KPMG can help

Only future-ready banks will thrive in 2024 and beyond. The KPMG national banking practice sees today’s environment of converging economic and industry challenges and disruptions as a catalyst for change—a not-to-be-missed chance to take advantage of the current and emerging opportunities that surround us.

KPMG can help banks navigate the evolving banking landscape, with deep industry expertise, fresh thinking, and leading-edge tools and methodologies.

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