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KPMG Study: CEOs Increasing Investments in Cyber Security as Risks Around Rise of Artificial Intelligence Proliferate

-- Myriad Risks to Growth include Cyber, Geopolitics, Economic Uncertainty

-- CEO Sentiment for Full Return-to-Office Soaring

September 18, 2024

NEW YORK, Sept. 18 – CEOs are increasing their investments in cyber security as risks related to artificial intelligence rise, according to a new study released today by KPMG LLP, the U.S. audit, tax, and advisory firm.

The study also finds that CEOs are actively addressing near-term risks to growth, especially geopolitics and economic uncertainty, and longer-term structural changes to the U.S. economy, including the dynamic labor market and potential policy shifts on tax and regulations. This combination of increased near-term risks and long-term structural changes, or compound volatility, is causing CEOs to continually adjust their growth strategies.

“CEOs’ primary focus remains anticipating and staying ahead of the compounding and interrelated risks,” said Paul Knopp, KPMG U.S. Chair and CEO. “CEOs are strategically allocating capital to address cyber and geopolitical risks that can cause abrupt business disruption in the short term, while making long-term investments in GenAI and M&A to spur future growth.”

The 2024 KPMG CEO Outlook features insights from more than 1,300 CEOs at large companies globally, including 400 in the United States, on the key challenges and opportunities in driving business growth with a lens into managing “compound volatility.” 

Key perspectives from U.S. CEOs are highlighted below:

CEOs are confident in the long-term growth prospects for their companies against a backdrop of cybercrime, economic uncertainty, geopolitics and political uncertainty.

Knopp: “Threat levels on cyber risk are flashing red in the eyes of CEOs as AI capabilities both within and outside the organization continue to grow. Increased levels of investment in cyber security are needed as AI risks multiply.”

  • U.S. CEOs are confident in the growth prospects for their country (85%), their company (78%) and the global economy (74%) over the next three years.
  • CEO perspectives on the top risks they see for their organizations reveal the impact of increased disruption and the challenges of navigating long-term structural change.
    • CEOs identify the race to embrace and embed generative AI (GenAI) and other technologies (51%), geopolitical complexities (47%) and economic uncertainty (47%) as the challenges top of mind right now.
    • When asked to identify the top trends that could negatively impact their organization’s prosperity over the next three years, U.S. CEOs most highly ranked the cost of living, cybercrime and cyber security issues, and talent.
      • Only 54% of CEOs say their organization is well-prepared for a cyberattack.
      • 37% of CEOs are unsure if their organization’s cybersecurity can keep pace with rapid AI advancements, while 41% are unsure if they will be able to secure the talent and solutions they need to defend against AI threats.
      • 69% of CEOs are increasing their investments in cybersecurity to protect their operations and IP from AI threats.
    • U.S. CEOs cite geopolitics and political uncertainty, supply chain and operational issues as the top risks posing the greatest threats to growth over the next three years.
  • As a result of these interrelated challenges, 74% of CEOs say they have already adapted their growth strategy, while 26% plan to do so but haven’t yet.
  • CEOs identify M&A (30%) and organic growth (22%) as the most important strategies for achieving their organization’s growth objectives over the next three years.

GenAI remains a top investment priority, but data, workforce and governance readiness along with a lack of regulations are implementation challenges.

Knopp: “The pressure to unlock value from GenAI investments is intensifying, while CEOs continue to prioritize its ethical and effective use. CEOs are working to keep pace, and they are focused on the long-term strategic considerations, including its potential to disrupt their business, reshape the competitive landscape, and develop new business models and revenue streams. KPMG is helping clients strategize and position their organizations for long-term, sustainable returns with GenAI.”

  • 68% of U.S. CEOs say GenAI is a top investment priority despite uncertain economic conditions.
  • 68% of CEOs expect to see return from their investments in GenAI in three to five years, while 21% expect returns in just one to three years.
  • The majority are placing more capital investment in buying new technology (60%) than developing their workforce’s skills and capabilities (40%) when thinking about their growth and transformation objectives.
  • When asked to identify the top benefit of implementing GenAI in their organization, CEOs cited increased efficiency and productivity through automating routine operations, upskilling the workforce for future readiness and increased innovation.
  • CEOs most frequently identify information technology (74%), sales and marketing (59%) and finance and accounting (48%) as the top three functional areas where their organization will make GenAI investments over the next three years.
  • When asked to identify the biggest challenges when it comes to implementing GenAI, CEOs identified ethical challenges (60%) and a lack of regulation (55%).
  • CEOs express low levels of confidence that they will have their data ready to safely and effectively integrate GenAI (34%), their employees have the right skills to fully leverage the benefits of GenAI (39%) and their organization is ready to safely deploy and integrate GenAI with robust governance frameworks (56%).
  • U.S. CEOs cite advancing digitization and connectivity across the business as their top operational priority to achieve their growth objectives over the next three years followed closely by their employee value proposition to attract and retain top talent.

CEOs desire to pursue M&A, but their timeline remains on the horizon.

Knopp: “CEOs are poised to seize M&A opportunities that will drive growth and transformation for their organizations despite changing market dynamics. M&A continues to be a strategic avenue for CEOs to adapt, innovate, and create value.”

  • 49% of U.S. CEOs indicate they have a high M&A appetite and will likely undertake acquisitions that have a significant impact to their overall organization over the next three years, while 39% plan to make acquisitions that will have a moderate impact to their organizations.
  • 57% of CEOs say their organization will wait until the second half of 2025 to seriously pursue new dealmaking. 24% say they are waiting until 2026 and beyond.
  • 46% of CEOs say their organization will not make significant investment decisions such as major capital expenditures and M&A activity until after the 2024 U.S. presidential election in November.

CEOs aren’t confident they will meet their net-zero goals due to decarbonization challenges, but commitment to pushing forward with climate-related strategies remains.

Knopp: “CEOs remain steadfast on their climate-related strategies, which they expect to deliver financial returns in the coming years. Reaching net-zero goals by 2030 is proving difficult due to challenges operationalizing those strategies, especially decarbonizing supply chains.” 

  • Only 54% of CEOs are confident that their organizations will be able to meet their net-zero goals by 2030 with the complexity of decarbonizing supply chains (24%) and a lack of skills and expertise to successfully implement solutions (24%) cited as the major barriers.
  • 70% of CEOs say they remain committed to their climate-related strategies, but they are adapting how they communicate it to meet changing stakeholder needs, while 27% say they have evolved their strategies to meet changing stakeholder needs.
  • 60% of US CEOs expect to see significant returns from their ESG investments in the next three to five years with 24% predicting one to three years, while 68% report that they have fully embedded ESG into their business as a means of value creation.
  • Over the next three years, US CEOs see their ESG strategy having the greatest impact on driving financial performance (74%) and attracting and retaining talent (26%).

CEO sentiment related to a full return-to-office soars; they predict GenAI will have little impact on the number of jobs but will require upskilling and better resource management.

Knopp: “CEOs increasingly favor a comprehensive return-to-office but the need for flexibility still holds. As this future unfolds, the integration of GenAI will become increasingly prominent, and upskilling the workforce will be a prerequisite for most white-collar roles."

  • 79% of U.S. CEOs envision the working environment for corporate employees whose roles were traditionally based in-office to be back in the physical workplace in the next three years – a marked shift from earlier this year (34%). 17% envision these roles to be hybrid (46% earlier this year) and only 4% envision them being fully remote (3% earlier this year).
  • 86% say they will reward employees who make an effort to come into the office with favorable assignments, raises or promotions.
  • CEOs see an aging workforce, in particular, impacting their organization’s employee recruitment, retention and overall culture (89%), and 32% identify the number of employees retiring coupled with a lack of skilled workers to replace them as the factor having the largest impact on their company.
  • CEOs believe organizations should invest in skills development and lifelong learning in communities to safeguard access to future talent (80%).
  • When asked about the most likely impact of GenAI on their organization, 72% said it will not fundamentally impact the number of jobs but will require upskilling and existing resources to be redeployed; 27% said it will create more jobs than it eliminates.

# # #

About the KPMG CEO Outlook  

The KPMG CEO Outlook provides an in-depth three-year outlook from global executives on enterprise and economic growth.   

The report surveyed 1,325 CEOs in 11 key markets (Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Spain, U.K. and U.S.) and 11 key industry sectors (asset management, automotive, banking, consumer and retail, energy, infrastructure, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, technology, and telecommunications).   

All respondents have annual revenues over US$500M and more than one-third of the companies surveyed have more than US$10B in annual revenue. The survey was conducted between July 15 and August 29.   

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP is the US firm of the KPMG global organization of independent professional services firms providing audit, tax and advisory services. The KPMG global organization operates in 142 countries and territories and has more than 273,000 people working in member firms around the world. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. KPMG International Limited is a private English company limited by guarantee. KPMG International Limited and its related entities do not provide services to clients.

KPMG is widely recognized for being a great place to work and build a career. Our people share a sense of purpose in the work we do, and a strong commitment to community service, inclusion and diversity and eradicating childhood illiteracy. Learn more at www.kpmg.com/us.

Additional Resources

The 2024 KPMG U.S. CEO Outlook Survey

Click to download the full report.

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