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2024 American Perspectives Survey - San Francisco

May 30, 2024

People in the San Francisco Bay Area are more optimistic than Americans nationwide about their personal financial situation and the growth prospects of the U.S. economy, though Bay Area residents are more optimistic about their own financial situation than the U.S. economy. They also are exhibiting various degrees of enthusiasm, comfort and skepticism in the forces shaping the consumer experience, according to a new study released today by KPMG LLP, the U.S. audit, tax and advisory firm.

This survey of over 400 adults in the San Francisco Bay Area is part of the inaugural KPMG American Perspectives Survey, which assessed the views of an additional 1,100 adults nationwide to understand their outlook on their personal financial situation and the U.S. economy, spending plans and preferences, as well as attitudes toward the forces shaping their experience in banking, energy, government, automobiles, healthcare and technology.

The report reviews these perspectives through the lens of compound volatility, the combination of near- term risks, such as geopolitical and technology driven disruption, as well as longer-term structural changes to the U.S. economy, including the energy transition and sticky inflation.

Find the full report here.

Insights from Chris Cimino, KPMG San Francisco Office Managing Partner:

Key takeaways: Despite challenges related to the local, domestic and global economy, the people in the San Francisco Bay Area are bullish on their personal financial situations, including their discretionary spending power for extras like travel and dining. Simultaneously, their optimism in the growth prospects of the U.S. economy is more tempered, and the majority plan to spend more time shopping for bargains in the year ahead.”

On GenAI expectations: Given the Bay Area’s prominent role in the development and adoption of GenAI, people  are enthusiastic about integrating GenAI across consumer experiences including industries like banking and healthcare. Yet privacy and security questions persist even in this GenAI hotbed. Like other new and transformative technologies, harnessing GenAI's potential while alleviating trust gaps is critical to enabling broad consumer acceptance and adoption.”

Bay Area survey findings include:

Despite Bay Area residents feeling optimistic about their personal financial situations, their optimism in the growth prospects for the U.S. economy is more tempered; their overall optimism in both areas is higher than Americans nationwide.

  • Most people in the San Francisco Bay Area (55%) are optimistic about their personal financial situation in the coming year, but their optimism in the growth prospects of the U.S. economy (37%) is more tempered. Unlike the national trends, the percentage of Bay Area residents who are optimistic is greater than those who are not.
  • Furthermore, while 51% of people in the San Francisco Bay Area are optimistic about their disposable income in the next year, 62% plan to do more discount shopping and 13% plan to use more buy now, pay later services.
  • Additionally, 29% of Bay Area residents will shop with sustainability in mind this year, even if it means higher prices. This is well above the national average (20%) and the percentages reported in Atlanta, Boston, Chicago and New York.
  • Similar to national trends, 29% of people in the San Fransisco Bay Area are planning to do more in-person shopping compared to 18% of people who report they will shop more at select brands using their mobile apps and 11% who will shop more at brands discovered on social media.

As people in the San Francisco Bay Area experiment more with GenAI in their personal and professional lives, they are demanding that GenAI be integrated into their consumer experience, but trust gaps remain.

  • With new GenAI services launching regularly, over one-third of people in the San Francisco Bay Area report that GenAI is having at least somewhat of an impact on their personal (38%) and professional lives (39%).
  • In their personal lives, one-third of people report they’ve used GenAI to ask questions as they would in a search engine, and 26% have used GenAI as a writing assistant.
  • Nearly one in four Bay Area residents report they expect to use GenAI for work at least once a week over the next 12 months. 

Banking:

  • People in the San Francisco Bay Area see value in physical bank branches with nearly one-third (32%) reporting they would not shift to a digital alternative even with comparable services. At the same time, 42% of people see banking services being enhanced by GenAI.
  • In particular, people in the Bay Area believe GenAI can help the most with credit card choices (51%) and budgeting (45%), but they have some skepticism about GenAI advice related to mortgages (34%) and investing (30%).
  • Additionally, Bay Area residents worry about cybersecurity risks, with 59% concerned about a cybersecurity breach at their bank compromising their personal information and bank accounts.
  • Comfort levels among generations vary: 61% of Gen Z and 55% of millennials in the Bay Area are comfortable with GenAI budgeting advice from their bank, compared to just 46% of Gen X and 31% of boomers.

Healthcare:

  • People in the San Francisco Bay Area see the upside of GenAI in healthcare, with 55% believing it will improve the consumer experience through enhancing telehealth, helping schedule appointments and refilling prescriptions, while 48% believe it will increase efficiency by streamlining administrative tasks.
  • However, they have concerns about the lack of human interaction and empathy (62%) with GenAI in healthcare, reliability and accuracy of AI-generated diagnoses (59%), and privacy and security of personal health data (55%). Notably, women are more concerned than men across the board. 

Government services:

  • Only 23% of people in the San Francisco Bay Area feel government agencies are adequately leveraging technology to improve their services, compared 30% of people nationwide. 
  • People say it is important for the government to use GenAI for services such as the DMV (61%), healthcare benefits (59%) and tax services (53%) to improve their experience.
  • Despite expecting government agencies to use technology to a greater extent, over half (52%) of Bay Area residents express concerns about a possible cybersecurity breach being more likely at a government agency than at a private sector company. 

Compared to the national average, people in the San Francisco Bay Area are more comfortable with renewables and prioritize a more sustainable option when it comes to automobiles as well.

  • Over three-fourths (77%) of people in the Bay Area are comfortable with renewables as a power source for their utility’s electricity generation.
  • People in the Bay Area prioritize a more sustainable option when it comes to automobiles as well. If all price points and features were on par, Bay Area residents would purchase an EV (30%) or a hybrid vehicle (43%), while only 18% would choose a standard gas-powered vehicle. Nationwide, 21% would choose an EV, 34% a hybrid, and 38% a standard gas-powered vehicle.

Of San Francisco Bay Area residents who view GLP-1s as potentially important to them personally, 28% believe GLP-1 medication would improve their quality of life, but few are willing to pay higher insurance premiums for coverage.

  • Nearly 40% of the San Francisco Bay area residents believe GLP-1s are not important to them personally.
  • Of the San Francisco Bay area residents who view GLP-1s as potentially important to them personally, 28% believe taking GLP-1 drugs would improve their quality of life by helping with overall health, significant weight loss or a specific health issue. Another 24% view them as too risky, and 25% believe their benefits are difficult to predict.
  • Nationwide, of those who view GLP-1s as relevant to their health, more people found them to be very important or important than too risky by 15 percentage points (35% vs. 20%).
  • Over three-fourths of people in the Bay Area (76%) would not be willing to pay out of pocket for the drugs, and only 11% would be willing to pay higher insurance premiums for coverage. 

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About KPMG LLP

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