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Webinar on India Union Budget 2026-27
Join KPMG in India’s budget webinar day as our specialists break down key updates from the Union Budget 2026–27. First session will cover the tax and policy landscape, while the second will focus on compliance requirements for Foreign Portfolio Investors.
2 February 2026 | 11:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. IST
2 February 2026 | 02:00 p.m. IST
Accelerate progress and strengthen India’s global competitiveness
The India Union Budget 2026-27 is expected to be presented on 1 February 2026 as India’s economy is forecast to expand by 7–7.5 per cent, driven by resilient consumer spending, infrastructure upgrades, and ongoing policy initiatives. Corporate deal activity remains robust, with M&A volumes reaching USD 61.3 billion in H1 20251, and foreign investment inflow continues to rise. However, tax litigation remains a challenge, with over 540,000 pending appeals2, signaling the need for faster disposal of tax appeals and clarity and simplification in tax laws. Against this backdrop, several tax measures are expected to accelerate progress and strengthen India’s global competitiveness.
The government is promoting fast-track mergers and demergers. However, the Income-tax Act, 2025 does not provide for tax neutrality to fast-track demergers, creating uncertainty for businesses. Granting tax-neutral status is expected to streamline restructuring, cut compliance burdens, and allow businesses to reorganise swiftly and unlock new growth opportunities.
Another expectation is the rationalisation of holding period for slump sale transactions. While most assets qualify as long-term after 12 or 24 months, undertakings transferred through slump sale still require a 36-month holding period. Lowering this threshold to 24 months would align regulations and enhance the appeal of asset transfers and reallocating capital effectively.
On the international tax front, MAT exemptions for foreign companies taxable in India under presumptive tax regimes (i.e., operation of ships, aircrafts, civil construction, oil exploration services) is available only if their income solely comprises of income from the said specified businesses. The current provision creates a challenge when incidental income is earned alongside business income, potentially exposing these foreign companies to MAT. A clear exemption would help improve India’s competitiveness for foreign companies engaged in these businesses in India.
Similarly, removing ambiguity in the definition of Associated Enterprises would reduce compliance complexity and disputes in transfer pricing. Overlapping clauses and unclear thresholds often lead to litigation. A more objective and streamlined definition would simplify reporting and enhance certainty for multinational groups.
Extending dividend tax exemption for IFSC investors is expected to make India’s financial ecosystem more competitive globally. While interest income from IFSC units is exempt, dividends to non-resident shareholders are taxed at 10 per cent. Removing this tax would attract long-term foreign capital and strengthen India’s position as a hub for wealth management and global investment funds.
In addition, several GST‑related measures are expected to significantly improve cash flows, reduce disputes, and enhance ease of doing business. A key anticipated reform is the deletion of Section 13(8)(b) of the IGST Act, which would shift the place of supply for intermediary services from the supplier’s location to the recipient’s location. This change would align India’s GST framework with global tax principles, reduce litigation in cross‑border transactions, and provide much‑needed clarity for service exporters.
Simplification is also expected in relation to post‑sale discounts through amendments to Section 15(3)(b) of the CGST Act. Removing the requirement for discounts to be pre‑agreed and linked to specific invoices would bring GST provisions closer to commercial realities, reduce procedural complexity, and ease compliance for businesses operating high‑volume or incentive‑based pricing models.
Further, the proposed omission of Section 54(14) of the CGST Act, which currently prescribes a minimum threshold for export refund claims, would be a major relief for small and medium exporters. This measure would enable exporters using courier and postal channels to access GST refunds without value restrictions, directly improving liquidity and export competitiveness.
Another impactful expectation is the introduction of provisional refunds for inverted duty structure cases by amending Section 54(6) of the CGST Act. Allowing risk‑based provisional sanction of refunds would speed up access to working capital, reduce prolonged refund delays, and place inverted duty refunds on par with zero‑rated supplies, offering timely relief to affected industries.
One hopes that the direct and indirect tax changes in the upcoming budget will deliver a tax ecosystem that is simpler, predictable, and aligned with the best global practices. By reducing disputes, easing compliance, and improving cash flow efficiencies, the budget has the potential to unlock investment, support exporters and MSMEs, and reinforce India’s position as a preferred destination for global capital.
[1] Indian M&A boom returns: $61.3 billion deals in H1 2025, highest since 2022, ABP Live, June 2025.
[2] India’s Pending Income Tax Cases Top 539,000 in FY25, BW Businessworld, December 2025.
This microsite is your consolidated resource for all Budget related information. Through this platform, KPMG in India’s partners and sector leaders will engage with you and share their views and insights on India Union Budget 2026-27.
Key expectations from the Union Budget 2026-27
- Personal taxation
- Corporate income tax
- Mergers & Acquisition
- Banking, Financial Services and Insurance
- Transfer pricing
- Indirect tax
The Economic Survey 2025-2026
- Yezdi Nagporewalla
- Mohit Bhasin
- Naveen Aggarwal
- Nilachal Mishra
The Economic Survey 2026 underscores India’s strong growth momentum, anchored in resilient domestic demand and a credible macroeconomic framework. With GDP growth estimated at 7.4% in FY26 and a stable outlook ahead, India remains among the world’s fastest-growing major economies.
Progress on fiscal consolidation alongside sustained public infrastructure investment is encouraging. The continued reduction in the fiscal deficit reflects a clear focus on stability and quality expenditure, setting a constructive backdrop for the Union Budget. A continued emphasis on capex, productivity-enhancing reforms, and job creation will be key to sustaining momentum.
Externally, the advancing India–EU free trade agreement offers an opportunity to boost competitiveness, exports, and employment. As India moves towards Viksit Bharat 2047, effective government–industry collaboration will be critical to delivering durable and inclusive growth.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the Survey in Parliament today, setting the stage for Budget 2026 on Feb 1. As professionals working in the Economic Growth space, we view the Economic Survey 2026 is not just as a report card, but as a strategic blueprint for India’s next phase of development.
The Economic Survey 2026 projects India’s GDP growth at 6.8-7.2% for FY26, driven by resilient domestic demand despite global uncertainties. The Survey emphasizes structural priorities such as infrastructure development, manufacturing expansion, and digital economy jobs, and recently signed Trade Agreement will act as a key driver of export competitiveness. On the fiscal front, the deficit is projected to narrow, supported by higher capital expenditure that can generate long-term productivity gains. At the same time, the Survey underscores the importance of human capital Investment through healthcare, education, and skill development, ensuring that growth remains inclusive and sustainable.
The Survey paints a rather balanced roadmap: growth momentum anchored in domestic demand, fiscal prudence to maintain credibility, and social investment to ensure inclusivity. This sets the stage for Budget 2026 to translate these priorities into actionable policy measures.
The Economic Survey 2025-2026 delivers a powerful message: while the global economy is fragmenting under geopolitical stress and supply-chain realignments, India is accelerating - and that divergence is our strategic advantage.. With 7.4% estimated GDP growth for FY26, low inflation, strong external buffers, and a disciplined fiscal path, India is showing that resilience and reform can move together, creating a stable and predictable macro environment for long-term capital.
Driven by strong domestic demand, rising private investment, and a maturing manufacturing base alongside world-class services, India is increasingly emerging as a scalable, investable, and credible pillar of global growth, offering durability of returns and strategic relevance in an uncertain world.
In a fragile global environment, India offers something rare: scale, stability, credibility, and a long-term horizon. As the world is becoming more uncertain, India is becoming more central - to growth and prosperity.
Nilachal Mishra
Partner and Head, Government & Public Services (G&PS), National Leader - Government and Infrastructure
KPMG in India
With FY27 growth projected at 6.8-7.2 per cent and a calibrated fiscal consolidation path, the Economic Survey highlights a clear shift from intent to execution, where strong institutions, AI-enabled governance, and delivery at scale will define India’s next growth phase.
KPMG in India leaders on Pre-Budget 2026-27
- Parizad Sirwalla
- Abhishek Jain
- Himanshu Parekh
- Kalpesh Maroo
- Gaurav Mehndiratta
- Rahul Kashikar
- Nikita Mehta
- Akhilesh Tuteja
- Naveen Aggarwal
- S Sathish
- Nilachal Mishra
- Nikhil Sethi
- Narayanan Ramaswamy
- Neeraj Bansal
- Waman Parkhi
- Nirmal Nagda
Budget 2026 presents an opportunity to boost India's strategic technology ambitions. Reforms in tax and regulations are crucial for attracting investment and facilitating cross-border deals. This will help India build capacity and capability in emerging sectors. The government aims to accelerate innovation and manufacturing. Strategic collaborations will be key to achieving the Viksit Bharat vision by 2047
For India to become a global defence industrial power, increased capital expenditure and a significant boost to defence R&D are crucial. Bold tax incentives will encourage private sector and startup involvement in defence production and exports.
Rahul Kashikar
Partner, Head - Tax Technology and Transformation I Partner - Corporate International Tax
KPMG in India
India has moved ahead rapidly in tech-enabled tax compliance, creating an environment where processes feel more real time and seamless. As we look at 2026, three areas that can further strengthen this progress, improve TDS compliance, and ease the overall burden of administration:
- Use AI to reduce tax litigation
Intelligent systems can support faster case reviews, pattern identification, and early issue resolution. This can help reduce disputes and improve consistency. - Make the GST invoice management system mandatory
The current system already supports higher accuracy and faster reconciliation. A mandatory rollout can help taxpayers and administrators work with cleaner data and fewer errors. - Rationalise TDS rates
Simplified and more aligned rate structures can reduce mismatches, cut compliance workload, and support smoother reporting.
India has built a strong foundation. Strengthening these three levers can help create a more predictable, efficient, and transparent tax ecosystem for everyone..
As the new Income Tax Act takes effect from April, corporates want stability and certainty with no disruptive changes. To truly support corporate taxpayers, the government can use AI and technology to make compliance smoother and reduce manual effort.
Key expectations include:
- Pre-filled tax returns by integrating data across government systems using AI, reducing duplication and errors.
- AI-driven automation to handle routine audits and speed up refund processing.
- AI-powered chatbots that offer instant guidance on tax rules, timelines and filing steps.
- Enhanced TDS returns and Form 26AS with richer, more connected data for easier reconciliation.
India has made real progress in raising manufacturing as a share of GDP, but our next leap depends on:
- building strength in component manufacturing,
- connecting last mile infrastructure, and
- easing financing pressures on exporters.
This is the moment for India to rethink what it will take to become a true global manufacturing hub and act with clarity and speed.
India's manufacturing base stands at a critical inflection point. The upcoming Budget can help close digital gaps, fix high delivery costs, and drive AI powered productivity gains. Strong policy backing is essential to unlock true scale and push India toward meaningful global manufacturing leadership.
Nilachal Mishra
Partner and Head, Government & Public Services (G&PS), National Leader - Government and Infrastructure
KPMG in India
Budget 2026 can unlock FMCG momentum by strengthening consumer spending, easing input cost volatility, and simplifying compliance. Premiumisation and D2C are now core operating models, with digital and vernacular commerce extending reach efficiently. When paired with pragmatic sustainability, Make in India incentives, and resilient supply chains, FMCG becomes the clearest link between macro stability and everyday prosperity.
Narayanan Ramaswamy
National Leader - Education and Skill Development, Government and Public Services
KPMG in India
The human capital of India is shaped through our education and skilling institutions; Union Budget 2026 could provide the much-needed impetus for it. Research, innovation and asset creating should take centre stage in our higher education (HE) institutions. Funding for HE institutions – especially run by private sectors – new as well as expansion of existing institutions – need to have easier and cheaper access to funds. We should treat this an investment like in the case of Infrastructure.
The year ahead will once again test how global trade adapts to uncertain and volatile changes. While challenges exist, the global economy will keep evolving, rewarding businesses and countries that stay flexible, watchful, and more aligned to long-term shifts. Resilience and not just growth will be a priority for India’s trade strategy. The upcoming budget presents a perfect platform to strengthen this approach. Building on the export promotion mission launched last year, the government can introduce more trade-related reforms this year, specifically targeting tariff-related solutions. Besides, India can expedite FTA negotiations with markets such as the U.S., the EU, and Mexico
Waman Parkhi
Partner, Indirect Tax
KPMG in India
Nirmal Nagda
Partner, Tax Deal Advisory - M&A
KPMG in India
With Union Budget 2026 approaching, the infrastructure sector is calling for clear rules that speed up execution and improve capital flow.
Expectations include National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) 2.0, a sharper focus on efficient capex through a Capital Expenditure Efficiency Framework, and long overdue clarity on FVCI participation in InvITs. These moves can unlock long term global capital and strengthen India’s growth path.
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