The article was first published in The Times of India Online on January 30 2026. Please click here to read the article.
As India approaches the Union Budget 2026, expectations are converging on a common theme: clarity, predictability and reform-driven stability.
In recent times, there has been a reduction of exposure to Indian equities by institutional investors, which is considered as a critical source of liquidity for India’s capital markets. The reasons can be attributed to rising global geopolitical tensions and stretched valuations in domestic markets. Returns for overseas investors have been eroded due to strong U.S. dollar and volatile rupee. On the other hand, higher U.S. bond yields have made American assets more attractive. Indian equity markets, after a prolonged rally, are now trading at significant premiums compared to other emerging markets. As a result, this has triggered profit-taking by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs), amid the increasing availability of global investment opportunities. Market analysts have observed that valuations in sectors such as IT and financial services have outpaced earnings growth, adding to caution.
From a corporate standpoint, businesses are looking for greater tax clarity, simplified compliance and operational ease along with measures that support liquidity. As economic growth remains closely linked to the efficiency of the capital markets, the forthcoming Budget is expected to address key structural challenges, while maintaining fiscal discipline.