Given continued discord and uncertainties, regulatory intensity focus on risk management/governance, financial risk, and data
In 2024, the intensity of supervision and regulation will continue with marked changes to reviews and examinations (e.g., more frequent, faster response, issues escalation, more rapid remediation) and a focus on risk management and governance (e.g., liquidity, capital, interest rate, concentrations, operations). This intensity will require financial services providers to (re)assess the current and target states of their operations; risk management policies, governance, and controls; and data and systems infrastructure.
Firms should anticipate:
Firms should anticipate:
1
Immediate Action:
Growing scrutiny of “weaknesses” in risk management and compliance, especially with regard to correcting deficiencies, will drive regulators to more stringent evaluations, possible ratings downgrades, and/or supervisory and enforcement actions. Firms will need to show both immediate assessment and resources to address potential weaknesses, as well as sustained processes (and executive accountability) to mitigate and manage risks.
2
Commitment to Resolve:
Regulators will view inability to timely remediate supervisory concerns or identified “weaknesses”, or continuing, recurring, or increasing deficiencies, as cause to impose increasingly comprehensive and severe actions up to and including limitations on growth and required divestitures. Firms will need to demonstrate a commitment to resolving “weaknesses” such as through self-identification, proactive disclosure, completed root cause remediation, voluntary restitution, and executive accountability.
3
Intangible Risks:
Regulators will expect risk management and governance processes to be adequately resourced (e.g., skilled staff, technology investment); risk management and compliance deficiencies (and particularly during times of “cost take-out”) may be seen as indicators of insufficient investment and/or resourcing, increasing both operational and intangible risks. Regulators will identify firms as “persistently weak” or “repeat offenders” in public enforcement actions, which will subject those firms to heightened reputation risk and may also have implications to the examinations of other regulators. Similarly, requirements or restrictions imposed on firms (e.g., reduction in asset size, additions to capital or liquidity, divestiture of subsidiaries or business lines) may heighten risks related to legal and compliance as well as market share and competition.
Expanded regulatory “perimeters,” innovative technologies, rapidly evolving products and services, growing interconnectedness, and the global political environment are contributing to heightened supervision and examination by all regulators, acting independently and in coordination, at the state, federal, and international levels, significantly enhancing the complexity of regulatory compliance. In 2024, firms will see ongoing and potentially increasing:
1
Regulatory Discord:
International, federal, and state regulators will differ in public policies, areas of supervisory focus, and regulatory approaches even as they work on the same regulatory concerns, as exemplified by:
2
Legal Challenge:
Challenges to regulatory authorities, jurisdictions, and rulemakings (e.g., CFPB funding structure, SEC climate disclosures, charters for novel institutions, crypto/digital assets) are increasingly expected, raising the level of uncertainty and complexity in the regulatory landscape. Firms will see that to preempt such challenges, regulators now regularly stipulate the agency’s authority to issue regulations and/or take actions.
3
Implementation Challenge:
The regulatory discord and legal challenges will drive the need for firms to determine the level of direct investment (e.g., infrastructure and systems, people and resources, data) to prepare to comply with supervisory and regulatory expectations that may at present be uncertain or in flux.
The ambitious pace for new regulations set by regulators (led by the SEC) in recent years will likely slow in 2024, an election year, as regulators work to finalize existing proposals (some of which are already known to be the object of current and/or anticipated legal challenge). Additionally, 2024 “net- new” regulations may be thwarted amidst the “lookback” period by which Congress might review and disapprove final rules under provisions of the Congressional Review Act (summer 2024). Nevertheless, firms can expect regulatory activity throughout 2024 to encompass:
1
New “Big Rocks”:
Regulators will look to finalize “significant" new regulations (e.g., banking agency rules on Basel III capital standards, long-term debt requirement, SEC rules on climate disclosure, market structure).
2
Old is New:
Regulators will continue to vigorously apply existing rules, regulations, and guidance (e.g., heightened standards/ERM, financial stability, AML/BSA, UDAAP/UDAP, fair marketing, conflicts of interest, recordkeeping) to new and emerging areas (e.g., “automated systems”, predictive analytics, crypto and digital assets, digital devices) in supervision and enforcements.
3
Supervision and Enforcements Coming:
The uptick in supervision and enforcement activities will continue throughout 2024, including:
Ten Key Regulatory Challenges of 2024
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