Analytic framework and related guidance for identifying, assessing, and responding to potential financial stability risks
April 2023
The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) proposes:
The proposed Analytic Framework outlines how the FSOC would 1) identify, 2) assess, and 3) respond to potential financial stability risks (independent of whether those risks arise from activities, firms, or otherwise), with the goal of reducing the risk of “shocks” arising from within the financial system, improving resilience against shocks that could affect the financial system, and mitigating financial vulnerabilities that may increase risks to financial stability.
1) Identify. Risk monitoring under the FSOC’s proposed Analytic Framework would include:
2) Assess. The FSOC identifies certain vulnerabilities that it states most commonly contribute to potential stability risks, including, but not limited to:
Additionally, the FSOC identifies four channels that may facilitate the transmission of “negative effects” of a financial stability risk to financial markets or market participants:
(Note: FSOC acknowledges that these risks can arise from widely conducted activities or from the activities of a smaller number of entities, and the type and scope of evaluations and actions will depend on the nature of the vulnerabilities and/or transmission channels and not on the origin of a particular risk.)
3) Respond. Following identification and assessment, the FSOC’s Deputies Committee will direct one or more of the FSOC’s staff-level committees or working groups to consider potential policy approaches or actions to address the potential risk (as appropriate), including but not limited to:
The FSOC’s proposed interpretive guidance sets forth three changes to the FSOC’s 2019 Interpretive Guidance, the process by which the FSOC determines (or “designates”) whether to subject a nonbank financial company to supervision and prudential standards by the Federal Reserve Board (FRB).
These changes include:
Under the proposed guidance, the process for nonbank financial company determinations would include:
Evaluation, Stage 1: As identified through the Analytic Framework processes and using quantitative and qualitative information from public and regulatory sources | The company would be notified of the review and may, but would not be required, to provide information. The company’s primary financial regulator would also be contacted. The FSOC would vote on whether to advance the company to a more significant Stage 2 review |
Evaluation, Stage 2: Using information collected directly from the company as well as from public and regulatory information. | To consider whether “material financial distress at the nonbank financial company, or the nature, scope, size, scale, concentration, interconnectedness, or mix of the activities of the company, could pose a threat to U.S financial stability.” The FSOC may discontinue its consideration of the company for a potential determination if the FSOC believes actions taken by the company’s regulator (using its existing authorities) or by the company “adequately” address the potential financial stability risk identified by the FSOC. |
Determination: Proposed Based on findings during Stage 2, the FSOC may vote to Propose Determination. | Requires a two-thirds vote of the FSOC members, including an affirmative vote of the FSOC Chair. The company would be permitted to request a hearing to contest the Proposed Determination. |
Determination: Final Following the hearing, the FSOC may vote to make a Final Determination. | Requires a two-thirds vote of the FSOC members, including an affirmative vote of the FSOC Chair. The FSOC will publicly announced the Final Determination after providing written notice to the company. The company would be subject to supervision by the FRB and prudential standards. |
Reevaluation At least annual reevaluation using the same standards of review applied during the initial determination. | The company would have opportunity to meet with the FSOC and to provide additional information. The FSOC would vote to rescind the determination if the potential risks that existed at the time of the Final Determination – based on steps to mitigate the risk taken by the company or its regulator – no longer exist and the FSOC determines the company no longer meets the statutory standards for designation. |
Comments on the proposed “Analytic Framework for Financial Stability Risk Identification, Assessment, and Response” as well as the proposed interpretive guidance on the FSOC’s “Authority to Require Supervision and Regulation of Certain Nonbank Financial Companies” will be accepted for a period of sixty (60) days following publication in the Federal Register.
Financial Stability, Nonbank Supervision: FSOC Proposals
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