Building resilience in the face of trade disruption
The recent trade landscape has been significantly impacted by tariffs between the U.S. and Canada, impacting over 80% of businesses. Tariffs, which are taxes imposed on imported goods, serve various purposes, including protecting local industries and influencing trade balances. They can encourage consumers to buy domestic products by making imports more expensive, but they may also lead to higher prices for consumers and provoke retaliatory measures from other countries, resulting in trade disputes.
KPMG is committed to supporting and empowering the Canadian business community in transforming challenges into avenues for growth. By embracing a proactive approach and strategically optimizing your business strategies, you can pave the way for long-term success and sustainability.
80% of business leaders say they will be impacted by U.S. tariffs
Latest insights
December 12, 2025
On December 12, 2025, the Department of Finance announced that the temporary remission of Canadian tariffs on imports will end on January 31, 2026 for steel used for manufacturing, processing, food and beverage packaging, and agricultural production. Note that the temporary remission will continue for U.S. steel imported in Canada for the manufacturing of automobiles, auto parts, and aerospace products. Additionally, the temporary remission on aluminum products is now extended to June 30,2026.
Affected businesses should determine whether to file a company specific remission request with the Department of Finance. Specifically, affected businesses may be able to request tariff relief in “exceptional and compelling circumstances” under the guidance for the remission framework published on March 4, 2025, such as where required material cannot be sourced domestically. These remission requests can help limit cashflow issues resulting from the tariffs.
On December 10, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump’s lead trade negotiator, Jamieson Greer, indicated that the U.S. administration is considering breaking up the current Canada-U.S.-Mexico trade agreement (CUSMA) upon its renewal in 2026 and moving towards separate trade deals instead. Mr. Greer must provide a report to U.S. Congress before January 2, 2026 (i.e., 180 days before the July 1, 2026 CUSMA renewal deadline) what position he thinks they should take and signal the administration’s intentions.
Canadian companies should prepare for the possibility of either a dramatically different CUSMA free trade agreement or a new bilateral agreement with only the U.S. by: (1) Assessing exposures and risks to their supply chain with each possibility, (2) Developing alternative supply chain strategies to minimize costs, and (3) Staying informed and engaging in the CUSMA consultation process as either a standalone company or through a trade association.
Insights provided by Joy Nott
Implementing a proactive trade strategy
In the current environment, it is highly important to proactively assess current business strategies, structures and supply chains to mitigate risk and build resiliency.
Utilize trade data to gain a comprehensive understanding of the current landscape, including potential impacts and opportunities. This information can help pinpoint specific products or materials that are most susceptible to tariff increases and assess their effects on revenues, operations, and partnerships. By grasping the potential impact of tariffs on costs, companies can adopt cost-saving measures to sustain profitability.
Prioritize targeted operating outcomes to develop a response strategy model and scenario evaluation:
Diversify supply chains: By improving supply chain visibility, companies can better understand their operations and consider alternative suppliers located in countries with fewer tariffs, which can help reduce the risks of disruption. Additionally, enhancing resiliency through scenario planning and data-driven decision-making will enable proactive planning for future challenges.
Tariff exclusion process: Some tariffs allow for exclusions that fit the eligibility criteria. Companies can request exclusions for specific products, requiring detailed justifications and documentation.
Strategic transfer pricing: Transfer pricing plays a significant role in customs valuation, as it can directly impact the amount of tariffs paid. By establishing a lower transfer price, businesses may be able to reduce their tariff liabilities.
Evaluate contracts and partnerships: Conducting a thorough review of contracts related to customs duties and tariffs to understand obligations between parties can provide opportunities for cost reduction and improved compliance.
Country-of-origin rules: Assess the application of these rules in your operations.
The Canadian government introduced the tariff remission process as support for businesses impacted by tariffs. Collect the necessary information and submit an application for tariff recovery on goods imported from the U.S. for qualifying entities under the Canadian tariff remission process. These entities can recover tariffs if the goods cannot be sourced from Canada.
Access to insightful trade intelligence will be critical for businesses to stay informed and allow them to proactively adjust their strategies and operations. This monitoring will help minimize unexpected costs and disruptions, ensure compliance, and maintain competitive advantage in the global market. KPMG professionals can support with ongoing monitoring and guide you on how changes could impact your company.
A comprehensive approach to your trade strategy
KPMG Tax, Legal and Advisory leaders can help provide comprehensive support on tariffs and key considerations for navigating the path ahead.
Optimize supply chains, mitigate impact and recover applicable tariffs
Assess structures and policies to reduce tariff liabilities
Enhance resiliency to enable business continuity
Evaluate and manage enterprise risks and compliance obligations
Evaluate contracts and partnerships to understand obligations
Optimize capital and strategic restructuring to endure challenges
Manage productivity, risk, and change in the short through long term
Have a question for our team of professionals?
As Canada pulls together to address these uncertain times, KPMG teams can help equip you with the insights you need to make informed decisions on what’s best for your business. Contact us today.
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