Navigating IRRBB and CSRBB

Key insights and challenges for European banks
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October 2024

The banking turmoil in the US last spring was a stark reminder of the risks from sudden changes in interest rates and credit spreads. Indeed volatility in these areas has had a direct impact on European banks’ profit and loss statements (P&L) and balance sheets over the past two years. This has prompted supervisors to increase their focus on Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book (IRRBB) and Credit Spread Risk in the Banking Book (CSRBB) – including via new IRRBB reporting requirements introduced by the European Banking Authority’s (EBA) Implementing Technical Standard (ITS). 

Banks have already committed more resources to meeting heightened IRRBB and CSRBB expectations, but supervisory attention continues to grow. One of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Supervisory priorities for 2024-2026opens in a new tab is to:

"Challenge banks’ interest rate risk management framework to ensure they properly reflect prudent assumptions regarding customer behaviour and develop corresponding mitigation strategies commensurate to their risk profiles"

In consequence, the ECB has recently begun a new round of on-site inspections (OSIs) focusing on IRRBB and CSRBB. Key areas of scrutiny are likely to include:

  • Risk measurement and quantification
  • Scenario selection and risk coverage
  • Economic value of equity (EVE) and net interest income (NII) risk metrics
  • Behavioural modelling and customer sensitivities

Some key challenges facing banks

KPMG has recently conducted a fresh benchmarking exercise to better understand banks’ IRRBB and CSRBB circumstances, challenges and priorities in 2024. This study, which collected answers from more than 90 banks to a range of questions about current market practices and forthcoming changes, reveals many interesting and detailed findings. Three of the most notable headlines to emerge are as follows:


Key takeaways and areas of action

Based on KPMG’s benchmarking findings and the experience to date of banks undergoing OSIs, we view the following as among the areas where banks should prioritise their preparations for regulatory scrutiny of IRRBB and CSRBB:

Data quality

Centralise and standardise data warehouses for greater consistency. Improve and align IRRBB standards for data quality and granularity to meet BCBS 239 standards. Anticipate assessments of quantification methods, defined metrics, and the reconciliation of accounting data with regulatory and Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP) views.

 

Deposit modelling

Reassess model assumptions and parameters in light of the changed market environment within the past two years and potentially recalibrate the model, expect in-depth analysis of behavioural models and non-maturity deposit models and consider incorporating the migration between current and saving accounts into the model.

CSRBB

Prepare to be challenged by the supervisor and required to increase the CSRBB scope — e.g. reconsider assumptions regarding credit spread sensitive positions, like own issued bonds.

Last year’s banking turmoil was a warning of the potential risks from rapid changes in interest rates. Supervisors were relieved at European banks’ resilience then, but are determined to ensure banks properly manage this risk in the years ahead.


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Quarterly KPMG SSM Insights Newsletter – October edition

Welcome to KPMG’s SSM Insights Newsletter, October edition. Read our latest perspectives and insights on pressing ECB priority areas impacting banks.

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