As global uncertainty intensifies, resilience is proving to be a meaningful competitive advantage. India is responding to volatility with composure and a long-term lens. Although Indian markets lagged some global indices during last year’s AI-driven upswing, the core story is more strategic than cyclical. When foreign capital shifted toward the global AI momentum, India’s domestic investors stepped up with notable conviction, helping deliver the stability markets needed. This stabilising force is being reinforced by forward-looking reforms–ranging from the new data protection framework to progressive labour code updates–through which India is strengthening its economic architecture for the future.

      As economic landscape undergoes one of its most volatile and transformative phases, India continues to navigate uncertainty with a steady hand and a long-term orientation. The last year, defined by an extraordinary AI-driven surge in global markets, saw massive capital flows move rapidly toward technology-centric economies. In this environment, while Indian markets temporarily trailed some global indices, the broader narrative is far more strategic–and far more compelling.

      What distinguishes India today is not short-term market outperformance, but the foundation of resilience it is steadily building. As foreign capital was pulled into the gravitational force of the global AI momentum, India’s domestic investors stepped in with remarkable conviction, ensuring that market stability was preserved even during periods of external turbulence. This deep and broadening pool of domestic capital, fuelled by retail participation, systematic investment plans (SIPs), long-term institutional investors, and rising financial awareness has emerged as one of the most defining strengths of India’s economic architecture.

      This shift is not incidental; it reflects a structural transformation. India’s journey over the past decade has been powered by a rising middle class, increased formalisation, digitisation of financial services, and a cultural transition toward long-term wealth creation. The persistence of domestic flows, even in the face of global risk aversion, underlines a powerful vote of confidence in the country’s economic direction.

      Yet, capital flows are only part of the story. India has been working consistently to strengthen the institutional scaffolding that will support its ambitions over the next decade. A new data protection framework, for instance, marks a critical step in aligning India with global digital standards while also giving businesses and citizens greater clarity on how data is stored, processed, and safeguarded. This is particularly essential in a world where digital trust is becoming as important as digital innovation.

      Similarly, the rollout of progressive labour code updates reflects an effort to modernise India’s labour landscape, improving flexibility and transparency while balancing the needs of employers and employees. As the nature of work evolves–driven by automation, technology, and global competitiveness–these reforms become essential for building a future-ready workforce and attracting long-term investment into manufacturing and services.

      Taken together, these initiatives strengthen India’s institutional resilience, making the economy more predictable, transparent, and globally aligned. This matters because global volatility is unlikely to fade anytime soon. Geopolitical tensions, supply chain reconfiguration, rapid shifts in capital markets, and the disruptive force of AI will continue to redefine the world’s economic order.

      In this environment, countries that can maintain internal stability while adapting to external change are expected to emerge stronger. India appears to be positioning itself exactly along these lines. Even as short-term market movements capture headlines, the underlying story is about the gradual construction of long-term capability–economic, digital, institutional, and demographic.

      Looking ahead, India’s challenge and opportunity lie in sustaining this momentum. The economy will need continued reforms, deeper capital markets, stronger innovation ecosystems, and more robust infrastructure. But it will also need the confidence and participation of its domestic investors, who have already demonstrated their crucial role in cushioning volatility and anchoring growth.

      India’s trajectory today is not about chasing quick gains; it is about consolidating the foundations of a USD5 trillion future1. And if the past year has shown anything, it is that the country’s long-term story remains intact powered by stability at home, clarity of purpose, and a deepening belief in its own potential.

      [1] Vision of a USD 5 Trillion Indian Economy/ Press Information Bureau Government of India, October 2018/29-January-2026.

      Author

      Manoj Kumar Vijai

      Office Managing Partner - Mumbai, Head - Risk Advisory

      KPMG in India

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