This article was first published in The Economic Times Edge Insights.com on April 28 2026. Please click here to read the article.
Global trade is undergoing structural realignment, with geopolitical conflicts behaving as a key risk driver, disrupting energy markets, commodity flows, and established trade routes, and resulting in sustained volatility across global markets. The recent escalating tensions in the Middle East have intensified the disruptions in the global energy supplies and global shipping routes, impacting roughly 20 per cent of Global Oil flows and trapping estimated $4 Billion to $5 Billion worth of cargo each day1,2. Businesses worldwide are increasingly operating in a risk-intensive environment shaped by geopolitical uncertainty, rapidly evolving sanctions regimes, heightened regulatory activism, and shifts in capital allocation priorities.
Within this evolving landscape, the Indian economy is advancing several major trade arrangements with key partners such as the United Kingdom, European Union, United States, Oman, New Zealand and others3. Recent developments focus on deeper strategic and economic alignment, including critical technology and supply chain initiatives with the US, and active negotiations for comprehensive trade and investment agreements with the EU. With nine Free Trade Agreements3 (FTAs) signed over the last four years and several more under negotiation with the US, EU, and other strategic partners-offers opportunities to expand cross-border business activity, capital flows, and supply chain integration. However, this deeper integration also materially elevates risk exposure, embedding Indian organisations more firmly within complex international regulatory frameworks and increasing their vulnerability to global market disruptions, compliance risks, and external shocks.