PE investment in the Americas has been very robust in 2025, with $918.7 billion in investment across 6,638 deals as of the end of Q3’25, compared to the $1 trillion in investment across 9,926 deals during all of 2024. Quarterly deal flow has been equally robust, with $322.9 billion in announced deal value — up from $306.1 billion seen in Q3’24. While PE investment was very strong, deal flow was more muted; Q3’25 saw just 1,977 deals — the lowest quarter of deals activity seen in the region since Q2’20.
Over $918 billion in PE investment in the Americas as of end of Q3’25
US attracts lion’s share of PE investment in region
The US continued to attract the lion’s share of PE investment in the Americas — accounting for $827.8 billion of the total raised in the region as of the end of Q3’25 and 6,014 of the deals. In comparison, Canada saw $50.1 billion in PE investment across 418 deals in the first three quarters of the year, while the rest of the Americas attracted $41 billion across 206 deals.
Mirroring the general investment trend, the US accounted for nine out of ten of the largest PE deals in the Americas during Q3’25, led by the take privates of Electronic Arts ($54.6 billion), Air Lease ($28.2 billion), and Dayforce ($12.4 billion). A $4.2 billion recapitalization deal by Canada-based Green Infrastructure Partners was the one non-US deal to make the list.
PE investors in Canada gaining confidence
After plummeting to a seven-quarter low of $7.9 billion in Q4’25, driven primarily by rapidly shifting uncertainties related to US tariffs, PE investment in Canada bounced back to $16.3 billion in Q3’25 — a total consistent with the $15.5 billion seen in Q3’24. Over the course of the quarter, PE investors in Canada gained some confidence that market conditions were stabilizing, which led to greater conviction to do deals — particularly large deals. The rising confidence also led to an uptick in sellers bringing their PE-owned assets to market — suggesting a growing belief in their ability to attract fair value for their assets.
Actions by the Canadian government are also helping to inject confidence into the PE investment environment in Canada. Over the past quarter, the federal government has shown an increasing commitment towards improving alignment across key stakeholders in order to drive investment in areas like infrastructure and energy. The government’s efforts and initiatives could spark increasing PE investment over time.
Persistent uncertainty affecting PE investment in Latin America
Geopolitical tensions and ongoing uncertainties related to US tariffs continued to dampen activity across the PE market in Latin America during Q3’25, particularly in countries with high US export volumes like Brazil and Mexico. Much of the PE activity in Latin America during the quarter was driven primarily by local PE funds. These deals — at very modest deal sizes — primarily focused on the domestic logistics and transportation sectors. Fintech was one sector that showed some resilience in the eyes of foreign PE investors during Q3’25, with some making small or minority investments in the space.
Trends to watch for in Q4’25
Looking forward to Q4’25 and beyond, the US is expected to continue to dominate the PE market in the Americas, attracting the largest deals and an increasing number of exits. More broadly across the Americas, one burgeoning area to watch will be AI infrastructure, including the energy infrastructure and data centers required to support the delivery of future AI capabilities.
Over the next few quarters, the actions of the Canadian government will be important to follow as they could incent additional PE investment, particularly in the energy and infrastructure sectors. Institutional investors based in Canada are also expected to increasingly look for homegrown investment opportunities, which could have a positive impact on Canadian PE investment.
There is some hope in Latin America that trade uncertainties with the US will be resolved by the end of 2025. Should this occur, the decision-making ability of PE investors should improve considerably — allowing for PE investment to pick-up again over the course of 2026.
Pulse of Private Equity Q3’25
A KPMG quarterly analysis of global private equity activity.
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John Cho
National Private Capital Leader in Canada, Head of Deal Advisory for KPMG in the Americas region
KPMG in Canada