A renewed sense of optimism began to take hold in the U.S. VC market during Q3’25, fueled by a pickup in IPO exits, rising valuations across stages, and an exceptionally active investment climate for a wide range of AI-driven solutions.


      Q3'25 highlights from the U.S.

      • VC deal value posts a solid $80.9 billion across reduced deal volume
      • Late-stage valuations on the upswing
      • AI continues to attract massive deals
      • Exits continue a slow, steady climb
      • AI boom shows no signs of slowing
      • Fundraising remains extremely muted
      venture financing chart United States

      U.S. sees largest seed round ever amid red hot investment environment for AI

      The U.S. remained the epicenter of AI investment in Q3’25, capturing the vast majority of the jurisdiction’s largest deals. AI system and LLM developers dominated the quarter, led by landmark raises from Anthropic ($13 billion) and xAI ($10 billion), along with a $1 billion round by Reflection AI, a fast-rising entrant in the space.

      Beyond foundational model players, the broader AI ecosystem also secured substantial late-stage financing. Notable raises included Databricks ($1 billion) and Groq ($750 million), both key players in AI infrastructure, as well as Magic ($550 million), an emerging AI application company. Other major rounds included Perplexity AI ($600 million), which is redefining AI-powered search, Ramp ($514 million), leveraging AI to transform expense management in fintech, and Cognition AI ($500 million), advancing AI-driven coding solutions.

      Together, these transactions reinforce the depth and breadth of capital flowing into AI, from infrastructure and core models to applied solutions across verticals — cementing the sector’s position as the defining growth driver of U.S. venture capital.

      IPO market seeing increasing activity

      After a cautiously optimistic Q2’25, the U.S. IPO market decisively reopened in Q3’25, marked by a string of high-profile and successful listings. The quarter began with the blockbuster debut of Figma, the collaborative design platform, which raised $1.2 billion in its July IPO. Shares soared 250% on the first day of trading, setting a bullish tone for subsequent listings.1

      This was followed by the IPO of Bullish, the first digital asset exchange to list on the NYSE. The company raised $1.1 billion, with shares closing up 84% on Day One, signaling strong investor appetite for regulated digital asset platforms. Adding to the momentum, Sweden-based Klarna completed its long-anticipated offering, raising $1.4 billion2, with shares climbing 15% in initial trading.3

      M&A activity in U.S. rising reaches four-year high at end of Q3’25

      M&A activity in the U.S. continued to build momentum in Q3’25, with annual exit value already reaching a four-year high — with a full quarter still remaining in the year. Supportive rulings from the Department of Justice have contributed to this resurgence, fueling a sense of cautious optimism that larger-scale transactions are once again viable.

      Across industries, established players are increasingly aware of the need to accelerate technology adoption to keep pace with rapid advances and avoid competitive erosion. This urgency has translated into renewed M&A appetite, particularly for startups that can deliver immediate innovation and scalability.

      At the same time, there has been a marked rise in acquihires, as corporates move to secure scarce technical talent. This trend is especially pronounced in the AI sector, where demand for highly skilled engineers and researchers far outstrips supply. Together, these dynamics suggest that M&A will remain a key strategic lever for growth and competitiveness in the quarters ahead.

      VC investors still focused on profitability, making it difficult for early-stage startups

      Beyond the AI sector, U.S. venture capital investors continue to prioritize companies that not only demonstrate rapid growth but also exhibit strong business fundamentals and a clear, credible path to profitability. This has created some pressure at the early deal stages, making it more challenging for companies without a clear line of sight to profitability to attract funding.

      Fintech space beginning to see consolidation

      Within the U.S., a growing number of fintechs have found it difficult to find a good market fit or achieve the scale needed to grow and have run out of capital. As a result, the fintech market is starting to see the long-predicted wave of consolidation as struggling firms have been swept up by their larger counterparts.


      Trends to watch for in Q4’25

      Heading into Q4’25, there is a real sense of optimism in the VC market. AI, defensetech, and spacetech are expected to continue to attract significant levels of VC investment, while fintech could continue to see a rise in exit activity given the successful exits of Chime in Q2’25 and Klarna in Q3’25. Should market conditions remain steady, IPO exit activity more broadly will likely also continue to gain momentum over the next quarter and into 2026 as mature startups look to take advantage of the market reopening to exit.



      AI is driving the vast majority of funding in the U.S. And I think part of that is just due to the fact we’re seeing an AI funding surge where startups need a lot of money to generate compute power and they need a lot of money to hire the right talent. I think some of these investments are reflective of that — investors making large bets into companies so they can really push these two items to get the right people to generate the right products, and to give the companies enough bandwidth to do what they’re intending to do.

      Shivani Sopory

      Partner

      KPMG in the US

      Venture Pulse Q3’25

      Explore the latest deals and venture capital trends through the third quarter of 2025


      Explore the reports

      A global overview of key findings uncovered from the Q3'25 Venture Pulse Report.

      An overview of key findings uncovered from the Q3’25 Venture Pulse Report in the Americas.

      An overview of key findings uncovered from the Q3’25 Venture Pulse Report in Europe.

      An overview of key findings uncovered from the Q3’25 Venture Pulse Report in Asia.

      https://techfundingnews.com/figma-68b-valuation-record-first-day-ipo-gains/
      https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/10/klarnas-ipo-pops-raising-1-4b-with-sequoia-as-the-biggest-winner/
      https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/10/klarna-klar-stock-soars-after-us-ipo.html

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