This article highlights predictions from Corporate and M&A professionals from the KPMG global Legal Operations Transformation Services practice concerning the expected changes in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) markets. We focus on how these changes may affect future legal functions and legal practice. As predictions, they are not intended to guarantee any specific outcomes.
After a strong rally post-pandemic, the world’s M&A markets have been quiet in recent months as ongoing high interest rates, inflation and global political uncertainty continue to create financing challenges and dampen appetites for new transactions.
While deal volumes may be muted, digitalization continues its rapid advance, with innovations such as generative AI being embraced by businesses and their legal teams with increasing enthusiasm. When M&A markets ultimately rebound — as is widely expected before the end of 2024 — the pressure and pace of the dealmaking process will likely create significant challenges for legal professionals.
How will rapidly changing approaches to M&A transform the legal functions of the future?
Here are our top predictions:
1. Legal professionals who use technology effectively in the deal-making process will likely gain a competitive advantage by boosting the speed and efficiency of M&A transactions.
Around the world, M&A deal-making will continue at a more rapid rate and complexity as advancing technology and more available data drive new efficiencies and transparency across the deal cycle. From matching buyers and sellers to post-integration planning, the role of M&A lawyers will likely evolve as routine tasks are standardized and automated.
With the huge volumes of data that are typically relevant in international reorganizations, legal professionals will increasingly assign technology to do more basic work. This includes scanning and producing documents, summarizing information, preparing reports and tracking time and expenses.
Approaches to due diligence will also change. Technology tools, especially generative artificial intelligence (genAI) will streamline the scope of the legal review by delivering reliable information summaries quickly on matters such as standardized contracts, litigation, market terms and insurance policies. With genAI facilitating first drafts and research, the lawyer’s legal knowledge and review capabilities will need to be updated to ensure quality and accurate deliverables.
In fact, the opportunities that technology can bring to M&A transactions are so vast that they can seem overwhelming. As deals continue to pick up pace and workflows are adapted, it will be important for lawyers to understand that their role in the process remains fundamentally the same: to negotiate sound terms, execute and optimize buy-sell agreements, apply prior deal knowledge and create strategic business solutions for their clients.
Technology is designed to make the journey faster and smoother, but the destination is unchanged. The most successful legal teams will likely be those who use technology appropriately and efficiently to bring more added value services to their clients in a collaborative format.
2. Rapid technological adoption can help level the playing field for players in developing countries.
The digital divide between developed and developing countries will continue to narrow as businesses in countries such as Indonesia and Vietnam skip over previous technologies, and create the new infrastructure to support genAI, mobile, 5G and other contemporary advances. The latest wave of technology offers another opportunity for developing countries to “leapfrog” in areas such as developing precedents and running major due diligence exercises.
This may level the playing field by allowing new M&A players in developing markets to ramp up their capabilities quickly and compete on more equal footing with established investors and strategic buyers in developed jurisdictions. This speed of development will require extra effort and vigilance in areas such as training, the ethical use of AI and cyber security.
3. Proliferating ESG rules will require more detailed due diligence and access to significant volumes of previously unreported data.
New environmental, social and governance reporting regulations are set to take effect in Europe, and similar rules are likely to be adopted in the Asia-Pacific and other regions. This aims to greatly expand the level of due diligence and data that potential buyers will need to manage to meet new compliance, reporting and other requirements.
While these rules are scheduled to come into effect over a period of years, companies should currently be developing systems to track the relevant information needed for future deal-making. This will be no small task since companies will have to provide detailed information and potentially obtain external assurance about topics that they have likely never reported on before. Complying with the rules and opening new windows of transparency into the acquired company may also prompt changes to a target’s operations, structure and supply chain.
Similarly, deal lawyers will need to consider what diligence needs to be conducted to assess the maturity of target businesses to comply with these obligations and the associated representations, warranties and covenants that provide the contractual protections that underpin the diligence.
4. Evolving international tax rules will complicate international structures, planning and due diligence.
Following the pandemic, escalating trade tensions between the US and China and more recent geopolitical conflict in Europe, the Middle East and other areas, have caused many international companies to reconsider the locations of their operations and supply chains.
At the same time, the sweeping international tax rules developed by member countries of the OECD’s Inclusive Framework are being implemented by many global jurisdictions. Commonly referred to as BEPS 2.0, the two-pillar framework of the rules will reallocate a portion of corporate profits to market jurisdictions (Pillar One) and impose a minimum tax to ensure corporate profits are taxes at a 15 percent minimum.
In view of these new rules, many international companies and investors are streamlining their subsidiaries and holdings to minimize complexity and tax exposure. More attention is being paid to the location of their business’ value drivers. Increasing tax transparency under BEPS 2.0’s reporting rules is also influencing the structure of M&A transactions, with some buyers seeking to carve out activities, entities or geographies from agreements to insulate the core business or obtain watertight indemnities around potential liabilities that may come with the target business.
Legal teams will have their hands full dealing with the impacts of these new rules as jurisdictions set different effective dates and impose their own variations of safe harbors and other aspects of the BEPS 2.0 package. During this implementation period, it will be particularly important for due diligence teams to include a full complement of tax professionals to identify and advise on specialty areas such as international corporate tax, transfer pricing and indirect tax.
5. As the balance of deal-making shifts to Asia and developing countries, legal teams will likely require more linguistic and cultural diversity to prosper in all M&A markets.
Legal practice will continue to become more universal. Due to the historical and increasing dominance of US legal firms in global markets, English will likely continue to be the common legal language and concepts rooted in common law will continue to dominate training, deal negotiations and transaction arrangements. But legal teams of the future will need to include legal professionals with skills and experience to understand and manage the differences between US law and other common-law jurisdictions such as the UK, Malaysia and other Commonwealth countries.
In addition, capital flows from outside the historical largest players tend to be much more complex and harder to tap into than was once the case since there are now major companies, banks and funds doing deals from a greater array of countries. For example, big Indian corporates are making acquisitions in countries such as Brazil and Indonesia; Malaysian companies are making acquisitions in Türkiye and other parts of the world. This is not new, but as the number of economies providing outbound capital, or local banks become able to fund larger deals (and not rely on US/European/Japanese or Chinese banks), the need for a different footprint becomes more acute. To capture global M&A deal flows, there is an ever-increasing requirement to have relationships in a broader array of business centres and have senior lawyers in country who can build those relationships and execute those deals.
This will be particularly important in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region. With the region’s broad diversity of cultures and legal foundations, legal teams there may need to comprise lawyers who can deliver advice, review documents, negotiate terms and navigate cultural differences to deal with outbound, and especially inbound, transactions involving such disparate jurisdictions as China, Japan, Taiwan and India.
6. As deal cycles tighten, legal teams will need strong information management skills to get deals done quickly while mitigating risk.
Speed is vital for competitive due diligence work, but as the pace of dealmaking increases, risk management and controls will become even more important. For example, when one or both parties are involved are public companies or in a regulated industry, the due diligence process can involve 100 or more people. Beyond legal professionals, the proposed transaction may also need review by and input from banking, finance, tax, ESG, IT consultants and other specialists.
Each individual should be assigned the right level of access to different layers of information, much of it proprietary or confidential. The security of data rooms is a huge concern since inadvertent leaks could create problems preserving privilege, expose sensitive information and impair negotiations.
Further, as technology automates many common, lower-level due diligence tasks, junior-level stakeholders at investment banks and insurers, may lack the experience or training they need to properly recognize and manage sensitive information.
Due diligence in the future will therefore require robust information management, and legal teams will increasingly lead the process. This will likely include:
- deciding who needs access to what information
- coordinating the work of specialists
- sensitizing participants to matters of confidentiality, legal privilege and cyber security
- synthesizing key information for decision makers
- maintaining high standards of risk management.
Skills in information management can enable legal teams to take charge of maintaining the fast flow of documents while mitigating confidentiality, regulatory and other risks. Communication and stakeholder relations skills will also be key.
Conclusion
As the world of M&A evolves, the legal profession is being given a tremendous opportunity to utilize new technologies and approaches to enhance deal flow and improve client results. However, lawyers should also be aware that these new technologies and approaches also require a new skill set. Lawyers who are able to respond quickly to shifting global attitudes, an increased use of AI and new regulations will likely be able to gain a substantial advantage both for their own teams and their clients.