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      Sustainable and reliable energy may be on every nation’s wish list, but governments are taking a variety of routes towards this goal. The latest 2025 Statistical Review of World Energy[1] highlights a disorderly transition, characterised by rising demand (up 2 percent), increasing electrification, and accelerating growth in renewables and fossil fuels.

      Europe faces a reality check on renewables, with supply growth of just 7 percent in 2024, due to lack of finance, supply chain bottlenecks, and permitting barriers. China, on the other hand, is surging ahead, increasing its green energy generation by17.1 percent – adding twice as much as the US, Europe, and India together. Globally, coal, oil and gas production all reached record levels in 2024, and, with its ‘drill, baby, drill’ mantra, the US has become the world’s leading producer of oil and gas; its oil output equalled that of Russia and Saudi Arabia combined.

      Global electricity production rose by 4 percent in 2024 – twice as much as other energy types – driven by demand from electric vehicles (EVs), data centers and, especially cooling. And, while renewables now supply a third of global electricity, coal remains the largest single source. Nuclear power generated more than 5 percent of the world’s energy, mainly due to increases in France and Japan.

      Combining decarbonisation and prosperity is a real challenge, particularly for nations on a fast upward growth curve, as evidenced by rising emissions in China and India of 1.2 percent and 4.1 percent respectively in 2024. In contrast, the UK decreased its emissions by 1.8 percent in 2024, roughly on a par with France (1.8 percent) and Germany (1.5 percent), and ahead of the US (0.8 percent).

      Simon Virley

      Vice Chair and Head of Energy and Natural Resources

      KPMG in the UK



      Charting a path to 2030

      The UK’s hugely ambitious Clean Power Action Plan seeks to “usher in a new era of clean electricity”[2] by 2030, aiming for 95 percent renewable electricity production – up from 46 percent today.[3] However, many obstacles lie in the way – such as planning, permitting, supply chain constraints and skills gaps. A 2024 study revealed that 63 percent of renewables projects between 2018 and 2023 were either abandoned, refused, withdrawn, or simply expired.[4] This problem is acknowledged in the Clean Power Action Plan, which seeks to speed up planning and consenting processes significantly, as well as tackling supply chain roadblocks and skills shortages.

      A further challenge is the UK’s ageing grid network, which has limited capacity and a queue of projects seeking connections of over 700GW. At a time of high inflation and interest rates, financing for major projects also remains challenging.

      All eyes are now on the UK government’s next renewables auction, Allocation Round 7 (AR7), due to open in August 2025, which seeks to procure more renewable energy than any previous auction. Eager to attract more bidders, the government is allowing some projects without planning consent to enter the auction. It is also offering 20-year contracts, up from 15 years previously, with the aim of reducing costs.

      And, by abandoning plans for ‘zonal’ pricing (where electricity users in different regions would have paid different prices based on local supply and demand), the Government has sought to reduce uncertainty for investors.

      Despite these initiatives, the UK has plenty of work to do to meet its carbon reduction goals.

      Take heat pumps, a cornerstone of energy-efficient homes. In 2024, despite a subsidy of £7500 per pump, only around 100,000 were installed,[5] making the government’s target of 600,000 a year by 2028 (and the Climate Change Committee’s (CCC’s) recommendation of 1 million per annum by 2030) look like quite a stretch. Moreover, if the Government decides to rule out hydrogen for home heating, this would put even more pressure to expand heat pump deployment.

      Beyond residential heating, the Government also needs to address plenty of other ‘hard to abate’ sectors, ahead of its updated action plan for meeting the UK’s climate targets, which is due by 29 October 2025.[6]


      Managing a disorderly transition

      The UK’s low-carbon energy challenges are not unique. Its route to a secure, climate-friendly energy system involves a continued mix of renewables, nuclear and flexible thermal generation and demand side response. The next six months – including the outcome of AR7 – are likely to be critical in revealing whether the Government is on track for its Clean Power 2030 targets.


      [1] 2025 Statistical Review of World Energy, Energy Institute, 2025.

      [2] Clean Power 2030 Action Plan: A new era of clean electricity, UK Government, updated 15 April 2025.

      [3] Energy Trends, UK, January to March 2025, Department for Energy, Security & Net Zero, Statistical Release 26 June 2025.

      [4] Two thirds of renewables applications fail to get through planning stage, Cornwall Insight, 24 June 2024.

      [5] Heat Pump sales in the UK, Heat Pump Association, 2025.

      [6] ‘Government Faces Deadline to Unveil New Climate Strategy by October’, Sustainable Times, 26 March, 2025.

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