It is noticeable in our latest private enterprise Pulse survey of 1,500 businesses that confidence remains high. Over 90% of private enterprise leaders are positive about their future prospects. The picture that emerges is one of optimism and ambition – so have businesses simply absorbed tax and employment cost increases and renewed themselves for the journey?
It’s not quite as simple as that. When we look into our research findings, there is a clear thread of worry and concern about possible future tax rises. When asked about factors with the biggest potential negative impacts on their business going forward, further tax rises in the forthcoming Autumn Budget and rising employment costs were both cited by over 30% of respondents, second only behind inflation (45%). Measures to protect business profitability were also the second most widely wished for item in this autumn’s Budget – and in some cases (such as amongst family-owned businesses and the retail sector) it was at number one.
My own view is that tax increases in some form are almost inevitable in the Budget – but these will most likely be on the personal side in the shape of ‘stealth’ taxes where thresholds are increased at less than the rate of wage inflation. High earners (above £150k) may also see a reduction in some tax reliefs such as for investments into pensions.