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      With geopolitical volatility and national security concerns to the fore, the UK needs a strong aerospace and defence industry like never before, along with a thriving industrial manufacturing base to support and complement it, including through the development of dual use technologies.

      It is therefore not surprising that we see strong levels of confidence in the latest KPMG Pulse survey of private enterprise leaders, with 79% of industrial business executives upbeat about the prospects for their business.

      This percentage may perhaps have been expected to be even higher – but this is doubtless a reflection of widespread concerns about rising costs which have been eating into margins. Ongoing cost pressures including inflation and energy emerged as the clear number one short-term risk factor to the sector (48% highlighting it), while global disruption impacting supply chains was the second highest concern (31%).

      Jonathon Gill

      Partner, Global Head of Aerospace & Industrial Markets and UK Head of Defence & Industrial Markets

      KPMG in the UK



      People & skills on the agenda

      These statistics are broadly in line with the findings across the all-sector sample – but there are some revealing areas where responses diverge. The most prominent of these is that for industrial business leaders, the people agenda has a higher profile. When asked about investment priorities over the next year, technology including AI was the most prominent focus (59%) which was the same as for the result across all sectors. But 42% of industrial leaders named workforce and skills as a second priority, ahead of the all-sector figure of 35%. When asked what they would like to see prioritised at this year’s Autumn Budget, industrial executives named measures to support skills, workforce and productivity as a high focus (37%), virtually on a par with a growth focused investment and industrial strategy. This was quite different to the whole sample response, where measures to support technology adoption and digital capability dominated (41%), while skills, workforce and productivity was only the fourth most cited area (32%).

      This tells us that industrial private enterprise leaders are highly cognisant that you can’t separate the implementation of technology and AI from people and upskilling. There are huge shifts going on in the industry at a global level, with advanced manufacturing techniques accelerating, rare earth strategies and supply chains assuming ever higher importance, and new frontiers for materials and manufacturing models opening up including space. All this comes at a time of heightened national security agendas, making energigher y security in particular a matter of national importance.

      These shifts mean that not only do industrial, aerospace and defence businesses need to push on rapidly with technology transformation, but they also need to equip their people with the skills and confidence to embrace new ways of working that will unlock greater productivity and growth. This includes addressing the issue of ageing workforces and keeping the lifeblood of new generational talent flowing into the industry.


      Building on solid strategy foundations

      I believe it is as a result of these tensions that confidence levels are not even higher. The task ahead of us now is to turn the huge potential of the sector into visible growth. The foundations for this are already in place. Much excellent work has been done at a governmental level in the last couple of years, publishing the Industrial Strategy including an Aerospace & Defence Strategy, and then more recently the Defence Investment Plan. These are important steps because they give line of sight into the future and enable businesses and investment groups to make informed long-term decisions.

      The next step is to turn these strategies into executable plans that make a difference on the ground. For this, a tax regime that gives the appropriate R&D incentives and also stimulates export activity into high-potential markets (such as Germany, Canada, Australia, USA and Japan) is critically important. But perhaps most important of all is that there should be a joined-up, whole-of-society approach to build long-term sustainability. That is about ensuring that we have the physical infrastructure in place to generate affordable and secure energy (including SMRs) along with the good connectivity between assets and systems.

      We also need the right pipeline of skills coming into the industry through schools and technical colleges, including upskilling in AI so that technology becomes an enabler not a threat. As an example of the skills challenge, right now there is exceptionally high demand for welders in aerospace and defence – but that is leading to welding shortages in other sectors as talent moves across. Collaboration and coordination across industry to find mutually workable solutions is key.


      Converting the opportunity

      I am cautiously optimistic about the future. The policy and strategy foundations have been laid; our private enterprises undoubtedly have the ‘innovation gene’; the potential is there to become world leaders.

      But for this to happen, we need the right conditions to keep high-potential businesses here (the US is becoming a strong attractor due to the huge scale of capital investment incentives on offer), along with a holistic tax and regulatory environment that helps enterprises to flourish. If we can do that, there are exciting times ahead.



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