More than a month after the October 14 general election, we have some clarity as to the make-up, ministerial roles and policy priorities of the new Government.
A key plank of National’s campaign was its personal tax cut package, through raising tax thresholds and increases to Working for Families tax credits. From the coalition agreements, that policy seems to have survived largely unchanged.
What has not survived is a key revenue raising measure to offset some of the cost, a 15% foreign buyer tax on properties with a valuation of more than NZ$2 million. The foreign buyer tax was estimated by National to raise around $740m annually to fund its tax cut package, albeit questions were raised on both the scope of the foreign buyer tax (given NZ’s tax treaties) and its ability to collect the estimated tax. We understand this revenue shortfall is intended to be made up through other policy changes and fiscal buffers. The detail of these other policy changes is unclear, although based on comments by the new Prime Minister it appears that the so-called “App Tax” will survive to plug some of the revenue gap from not proceeding with the foreign buyer tax.
From the coalition agreements, it appears that changes to the personal income tax thresholds will apply from July, rather than 1 April, 2024. This will have some practical implications.
- It is likely to require blended tax rates for the 2024/25 year to take account of the different thresholds that will apply during the first three months and remaining nine months. (That was the experience in 2010, when tax rates and thresholds were changed six months into the tax year.) This will create some additional compliance costs for employers and their payroll / HR teams to manage.
- To give enough time and certainty for payroll software and systems to be updated, the amending legislation will need to be fast-tracked (potentially before the end of this year). This means the standard process for consultation on draft legislation is likely to be omitted altogether or highly truncated.
For those tax policies not explicitly mentioned in the two coalition agreements (either to confirm their application or non-application), it will largely be a case of “wait and see”.
Some of these will also be time critical – such as moving the bright-line taxing period back to two years (from 10 currently) as this will impact decisions on when to transact. Therefore, clarity on the detail and exact timing, as soon as possible, will be important.
This also extends to the status of the previous Government’s enacted tax measures and measures contained in the Taxation (Annual Rates for 2023-24, Multinational Tax, and Remedial Matters) Bill and Digital Services Tax Bill. What will be reinstated, amended or simply discarded remains to be seen. We expect the more routine “remedial matters” to be reinstated.
While the new Government has an ambitious 100-day plan to implement a number of its key policies, including in the tax area, there will inevitably be complexity that will need time to work through.