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      Why execution readiness will define success in 2027

      The 2027 EBA stress test introduces targeted changes rather than a full redesign. But banks should not mistake targeted for simple.

      The real challenge will be delivering new climate, credit risk and reporting requirements with the data, governance and control discipline regulators expect.

      Ian Nelson

      Head of Regulatory, Head of Financial Services

      KPMG in Ireland


      The bigger challenge is delivery

      The 2027 EBA stress test is not a fundamental reset of the EU-wide stress testing framework. Individually, most of the 2027 changes are manageable.

      Collectively, they will place significant pressure on data, reporting and governance frameworks. For banks, the challenge will be less about interpreting the rules and more about proving they can execute them.

      Climate reporting, FINREP-based credit risk requirements and revised templates will place greater pressure on data, reconciliations, ownership and governance. The institutions that perform well will be those that prepare early - not those that wait for final templates.

      Three areas are likely to create the greatest challenge:

      • Climate risk reporting arrives at scale

        For many institutions, data readiness – not climate modelling – will be the primary challenge

      • Credit risk moves closer to FINREP

        The shift towards FINREP-based reporting will expose the strength – or weakness – of risk-finance integration.

      • Execution risk will be the key differentiator

        The biggest threat to a successful submission is likely to be execution, not methodology.



      Climate risk reporting arrives at scale

      Climate risk is moving from supervisory theme to stress testing delivery requirement. The 2027 exercise introduces transition and physical risk reporting, including new transition and flood risk scenarios across corporate and real estate portfolios.

      The issue for many banks will not be understanding the requirement. It will be sourcing sufficiently granular climate, sector and geographic data, mapping it to portfolios and building reporting processes that can withstand challenge.

      Banks should begin assessing climate data availability now, before gaps become submission risks.


      Credit risk reporting moves closer to FINREP

      The 2027 methodology also brings stress testing credit risk reporting closer to FINREP. New requirements based on gross carrying amounts, impairments and revised template structures will require stronger alignment between finance, regulatory reporting and stress testing data.

      This has practical consequences. For many institutions, FINREP alignment will expose weaknesses in data lineage, reconciliations and ownership that have remained hidden in previous exercises. Where definitions, systems or controls do not align, execution risk will increase.



      Timeline for testing

      The EBA published a first draft of methodology and templates for the 2027 EU-wide stress test (ST) exercise on June 11, 2026. Based on given information published by the EBA, it is expected that the timeline for the exercise will be similar to the timeline of the previous 2025 exercise.

      Preparation

      • 11 June 2026

        Publication of tentative sample, draft methodology & templates

      • End 2026

        Final methodology

      Execution

      • End Jan 2027

        Exercise starts with publication of scenarios and EBA templates

      • Feb 2027

        COREP/FINREP submission

      • Mar 2027

        (EXP): ADC - starting data submission

      • Apr 2027

        (EXP): FDC 1  - 1st full data submission

      • Jun 2027

        (EXP): FDC 2  - 2nd/final full data submission

      Follow-up

      • Aug 2027

        Publication of results

      Key delivery challenges for 2027

      • Credit risk
        • FINREP-aligned reporting
        • New off-balance sheet reporting
        • Revised RWA structures
      • Climate risk
        • New transition & flood scenarios
        • New climate reporting requirements
        • Corporate & real estate focus

      • Net interest income
        • Simplified calculations
        • New rate floor requirements
        • Revised NII reporting
      • Market risk
        • Expanded sensitivities
        • Additional CRR3 requirements
        • Template restructuring
      • Op Risk, P&L, Capital
        • CRR3 updates
        • Reduced conduct risk reporting
        • Simplified capital templates


      KPMG view: Where banks are most likely to face challenges

      • Climate data gaps

        Most banks still lack the climate data needed to support reliable transition and flood risk reporting.

      • Programme mobilisation

        Institutions that delay mobilisation risk discovering delivery issues too late in the programme.

      • Data lineage & FINREP integration

        FINREP alignment will expose long-standing weaknesses in data lineage and reconciliation processes.

      • “So what” for banks

        In 2027, delivery capability will matter more than model sophistication. The challenge lies not in any one change, but in delivering all of them at the same time.


      What matters most in the 2027 methodology

      Banks should focus less on the volume of changes and more on the handful of requirements that will drive data, reporting and execution complexity across the programme. While no single change is transformational, their combined impact is likely to place significant pressure on risk, finance and regulatory reporting functions.

      Climate risk reporting


      Why it matters: Data readiness will matter more than climate modelling.

      Key changes:

      • New transition and flood risk reporting
      • Climate reporting for corporate and real estate exposures
      • Additional sector and geographic data

      Credit risk & FINREP alignment


      Why it matters: FINREP alignment will test data lineage and reconciliation.

      Key changes:

      • Migration to FINREP-based reporting concepts
      • Gross carrying amount and impairment reporting
      • New off-balance sheet

      Reporting & execution


      Why it matters: Delivery risk is likely to exceed modelling risk.

      Key changes:

      • Separate STA and IRB credit RWA templates
      • NACE 2.1 updates
      • Expanded market risk sensitivities


      What should banks do now?

      • Assess climate data

        Identify available climate, geographic and sector data and assess gaps against the new reporting requirements.

      • Map to FINREP

        Understand how existing credit risk data can be reconciled to FINREP definitions and reporting structures.

      • Validate data lineage

        Establish clear ownership and traceability between risk, finance and regulatory reporting sources.

      • Mobilise governance

        Develop delivery plans, ownership structures and trial runs before final templates are issued.


      Assess your stress testing readiness now

      KPMG can help identify the delivery risks most likely to affect your 2027 programme, from climate data and FINREP alignment to governance, controls and submission readiness.

      Ian Nelson

      Head of Regulatory, Head of Financial Services

      KPMG in Ireland

      Adrian Toner

      Managing Director

      KPMG in Ireland

      Jinxin Wang

      Director

      KPMG in Ireland


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