Joseph Vu

Joseph Vu

Partner
Head of Global Transfer Pricing Services
KPMG in Vietnam

Tran Thi Thuy Ha

Tran Thi Thuy Ha

Partner
Global Transfer Pricing Services
KPMG in Vietnam

03 July 2025

By Joseph Vu & Ha Tran, Global Transfer Pricing Services, KPMG in Vietnam

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As global trade tensions rise, Vietnam’s export-oriented economy faces fresh pressure from a wave of tariff increases, most notably from the United States. While much of the focus has been on direct impacts such as higher costs and reduced competitiveness, experts now warn of deeper implications tied to transfer pricing (TP)—and a growing risk of tax disputes if businesses don’t adapt quickly.

 

Vietnam’s Strategic Position in Global Supply Chains

Vietnam has become a crucial manufacturing hub for multinational corporations in sectors like electronics, apparel, and consumer goods. With a strong export base and increasing integration into global value chains, the country is particularly sensitive to sudden changes in trade policy.

“If countries like the U.S. impose high tariffs on Vietnamese goods, it doesn’t just hurt short-term profit margins—it can also throw off the pricing structures between related companies across borders,” said Joseph Vu, Head of Global Transfer Pricing Serivices, KPMG in Vietnam. “That’s where transfer pricing comes in.”

Short-Term Shocks vs Long-Term Shifts

Short-Term Impacts Long-Term Considerations
Sudden cost spikes due to new tariffs Possible relocation of supply chains
Disrupted U.S. orders or thinner margins Diversification to non-U.S. markets
Quick fixes like rush shipments or price hikes Need for reinvestment and new buyers
Outdated TP arrangements Fresh pricing logic and documentation needed

One common example: A Vietnamese subsidiary sells to its U.S. parent company. With new tariffs in place, should the Vietnamese entity lower its prices to maintain competitiveness? Or should the U.S. side absorb the extra cost? Either choice affects where the profit—and tax liability—lands.

Why Transfer Pricing Now Matters More Than Ever

Transfer pricing, which governs how profits are allocated among related entities in different countries, is coming under intense scrutiny. Tariffs reduce total profits, and tax authorities—both in Vietnam and abroad—are closely watching how those profits are shared.

In Vietnam, tax officials may challenge exporters who report lower margins due to tariffs, especially if there's no supporting documentation. If foreign authorities take a different view, businesses may face double taxation—a situation where the same income is taxed in two countries.

Documentation: The First Line of Defense

Vietnamese tax authorities have already been ramping up TP audits in recent years. Tariff-induced profit drops or pricing changes will trigger even closer reviews.

Companies should act now to:

  • Clearly document why prices changed (e.g., new tariffs, supply shifts)
  • Run scenario analyses to explain how costs and profits are shared
  • Consider Advance Pricing Agreements (APAs) to lock in treatment with key trade partners

Practical Steps for Vietnamese Exporters

Action Why It’s Important
Re-evaluate TP policies Align with current costs and profit pressures
Strengthen TP documentation Avoid disputes and defend pricing structures
Monitor global tariff changes Prepare for future cost and price volatility
Explore bilateral APAs Reduce risk of double taxation

Looking Ahead

Vietnam’s integration into global trade is a strength—but also a vulnerability. As geopolitical and economic uncertainties grow, exporters must not only navigate cost pressures, but also adjust their internal pricing strategies to stay compliant and competitive.

“In the end, it’s about being proactive,” said Joseph Vu. “Those who wait too long to update their pricing models and documentation will face the biggest risks—not just from tariffs, but from the tax authorities at both ends of the value chain.”