Malta’s economy continued to expand at a robust pace, with real GDP growth of 4.7% in 2025 followed by growth of 4.4% in the first half of 2026. Activity was supported by both domestic and external demand: household consumption grew by 3.4% and investment by 8.2% during the first half of 2026, while tourism, services and electronic-product exports also contributed to growth. This momentum is expected to moderate gradually, with real GDP forecast to increase by 4.1% in 2026 and 3.8% in 2027. Growth in 2027 is expected to remain broad-based, supported by a 3.8% increase in private consumption, 7.0% growth in investment and a 2.0% rise in exports, alongside a positive contribution from net exports.
The labour market remains supportive of this economic performance. Employment grew by 4.6% in the first half of 2026 and compensation per employee increased by 5.1%, while unemployment is forecast to remain close to historically low levels, at 3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027. Inflation, meanwhile, is projected at 2.5% in 2026 and 2.7% in 2027. For 2027, COLA has been set at €6.41 per week, with the national minimum wage increasing by €10.41 per week, inclusive of COLA. The national minimum wage will remain untaxed notwithstanding the increase.
Fiscal indicators are also expected to remain within EU reference thresholds. The general government deficit, which stood at 2.1% of GDP in 2025, is forecast at 2.6% in both 2026 and 2027 before narrowing progressively to 1.8% by 2029. Public debt is expected to remain broadly stable at around 47% of GDP in 2026 and 2027, before declining to 45.8% by 2029. The speech also reports Malta’s exit from the excessive deficit procedure in June 2026.
Against this backdrop, Consolidated Fund revenue is forecast at approximately €10.1 billion in 2027, including €9.0 billion in tax revenue. Capital expenditure is expected to reach approximately €1.45 billion, around €283 million higher than the revised 2026 estimate, with approximately €390 million financed through EU funds. Other significant commitments include around €400 million for energy and fuel subsidies and a social-measures package exceeding €121 million.