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      The defining energy story of the 2026 Statistical Review reflects the growing tensions between energy security, affordability, and decarbonisation, in this fragmented and increasingly volatile global energy system.

      The Energy Institute's 75th Statistical Review of World Energy arrives amidst the second global energy crisis in four years. When considered alongside European Central Bank analysis which shows that the Iran conflict has, to date, had a more muted impact on energy prices than Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the Statistical Review illustrates how exposed countries remain to severe economic disruption as a result of fossil fuel import dependency. In comparison to the major disruptions to European pipeline gas supplies in 2022, the current conflict has primarily affected global oil, refined products and LNG markets.

      Greater supply chain flexibility, diversified trade routes, higher reserves and weaker demand have contributed to limiting the energy price impacts experienced to date. However, the impacts of the ongoing conflict have transmitted well beyond energy markets, with higher crude oil and refined product prices increasing transport, imported goods and oil-based home heating costs substantially. These effects have been most acute in developing, import-dependent economies with lower fiscal capacity to intervene.

      The defining energy story of the 2026 Statistical Review reflects the growing tensions between energy security, affordability, and decarbonisation, in this fragmented and increasingly volatile global energy system. As total energy demand continues to rise, countries are adopting increasingly divergent, and sometimes competing, approaches to navigate this ‘energy trilemma’.

      Ireland’s National Energy Balance reflects this same challenge. While renewable energy deployment continued to rise, electricity demand growth, ongoing dependence on imported fossil fuels and the need for unprecedented investment in generation, networks and flexibility placed energy security and affordability firmly at the centre of Ireland's energy transition. The 2025 data underscores a reality increasingly evident both in Ireland and internationally: progress towards net zero will depend not only on decarbonisation ambitions, but on the ability to deliver secure, affordable and resilient energy systems.

       

       



      Top global trends in 2025

      • Record electricity demand growth of 3%

        Outpaced total energy supply (TES) growth of 1.7%, underpinned by electrification, growth in emerging markets, in particular across Asia Pacific economies, data centre demand and electric vehicle (EV) adoption. EVs accounted for one quarter of global vehicle sales, while data centre electricity demand increased by 19.6% year on year.

      • Renewables broke through as the largest contributor to global energy supply growth

        For the first time outside a recession, with low carbon sources meeting all growth in electricity demand and total renewable supply increasing by 10%.

      • Solar PV and battery storage formed the backbone of the energy transition.

        Solar PV delivered over 71% of renewable growth, overtaking total wind generation and reaching 8.7% of global power generation. Installed battery capacity surged by 66% to 302 GW.

      • Fossil fuels dependency persisted

        Supplying 86% of TES. The US continues to ramp up production and remains the world’s largest oil and gas exporter, supplying 30% and 25.5% of global exports respectively in 2025.

      • Global energy-related emissions continued to rise

        Increasing by 1.1% in 2025, highlighting the persistent gap between decarbonisation ambition and energy demand growth. Notably, the US accounted for just over a third of the global emissions increase.

      • Critical mineral and LNG dependencies grew, reshaping security risks

        With concentrated supply chains for critical minerals and growing reliance on liquified natural gas (LNG) exposing countries pursuing electrification and renewable energy deployment to geopolitical and supply disruptions. 


      While renewables led growth, consumption of all fuels reached record levels in 2025

      Figure 1. Global energy supply growth by fuel, 2025 vs 2024, Statistical Review of World Energy 2026 


      Ireland’s 2025 energy balance 

      Ireland’s total national energy use declined by 2.2% in 2025 despite strong GNI* growth of 3.8% and population growth of 1.5% over the same period.

      Continued improvements in energy efficiency, and the electrification of heat and transport and a 6.8% increase in renewable electricity supply reduced reliance on fossil fuels and improved overall system efficiency through both more efficient end use technologies and lower conversion losses in electricity generation. GHG emissions reduced by 3.7%, reflecting continued progress towards a more efficient and lower carbon system.  

      However, due to rising electricity demand and lagging renewable deployment, progress remains insufficient to place Ireland on a pathway consistent with its 2030 climate targets.

      Provisional estimates indicate that the electricity sector has exceeded its sectoral emission ceiling in the 2021-2025 Carbon Budget by 1.1%. The transport sector is also estimated to have exceeded its sectoral ceiling by 8%, reflecting growing demand for aviation fuel and petrol, alongside an inadequate rate of EV deployment.  

      In 2025, Ireland added approximately 150 MW of additional onshore wind and 800 MW of solar PV capacity, with total installed capacity now exceeding 7 GW across both generation sources.

      However, 10% of renewable generation was dispatched down in 2025 due to grid capacity constraints and system operational limitations resulting in a net increase in renewable electricity as a percentage of total demand of just 1% versus 2024.  



      Offshore wind development remains well behind the pace required to meet national targets, despite its central role in Ireland's decarbonisation strategy and in strengthening power system security.

      Five of the original six Phase One Offshore Renewable Electricity Support Scheme (ORESS) projects entered the planning process in 2025, with the sixth, Sceirde Rocks, having been withdrawn by the developer.

      Successful deployment of the remaining projects will depend on the timely delivery of grid connections, port infrastructure, supply chains and grid reinforcements.

      Positive recent policy development such as the Critical Infrastructure Bill, which enables the Government to trigger a statutory fast-track delivery process for designated strategically important infrastructure projects, may accelerate the pace of planning, consenting and infrastructure delivery. This delivery will ultimately determine whether Ireland can convert its decarbonisation and system security ambitions into reality. 


      Fossil fuels dependency persists  

      2025 saw a decrease in Ireland’s fossil fuel consumption of 4.7%; however, fossil fuels continued to dominate Ireland’s energy mix, accounting for 79.2% of TES, with oil constituting 47% of the overall mix.  


      Figure 2. Ireland’s energy fuel mix, 2025


      Ireland imports all of its oil and more than 82% of its natural gas, making it one of the most energy import dependent countries in Europe. In 2025, Ireland's import dependency reached 78.2%, the fourth highest in the EU and substantially above the EU average of 57.3%.

      While fossil fuel imports are declining across Europe as renewable energy deployment increases, growing electricity demand, declining indigenous gas production and insufficient renewable generation, storage and grid capacity, has driven increasing reliance on LNG imports to support security of supply and power system flexibility. 


      Figure 3. EU fossil fuel imports, 2021 – 2025, Eurostat 


      Solar PV and battery pipelines the foundations of renewables growth 

      Renewable generation accounted for 16% of Ireland’s total energy supply and 40.9% of total electricity supply in 2025. The RESS 5 auction secured over 1 GW of additional renewable generation capacity, with around 80% of successful projects comprising solar PV assets, highlighting the competitiveness of solar PV and its growing role in Ireland's electricity mix. You can read more about the RESS 5 auction here. 

      Ireland’s emerging battery energy storage (BESS) sector continued slow growth, reaching 966 MW, a 7.9% increase in capacity in 2025, in comparison with global BESS capacity growth of 66%.

      Despite a substantial pipeline of 9.97 GW, the current construction pipeline of c. 83 MW is comparatively low due primarily to an unclear route to market. EirGrid progressed the consultation on the Long Duration Energy Storage (LDES) procurement mechanism in 2025, with the first procurement round scheduled for Q4 2027.

      The round 1 procurement will support 201 MW of 4+ hour BESS with a longer-term target of procuring a total of 500 MW of LDES in future rounds. Future procurement rounds may also incentivise alternative and longer duration technologies.  


      Figure 4. Energy storage buildout historical and potential future capacity, Energy Storage Ireland


      Globally, solar PV and BESS are in a stage of explosive growth, demonstrating that the energy transition is becoming increasingly standardised around a limited set of mature technologies. Rapidly falling costs and low project complexity have been key drivers of this growth. 


      Electricity demand growth heightens import dependency, shaping energy risk profile 

      Ireland’s electricity demand grew by 3.6% in 2025, driven primarily by a 9% increase in Large Energy User (LEU) demand, reinforcing the growing influence of data centres and other energy intensive industries on the national energy system.

      At the same time, electricity emissions fell by 8.4%, supported by a slight increase in domestic renewable generation and higher electricity imports, with the imported electricity emissions occurring outside Ireland's carbon reporting inventory.  


      Figure 5. Electricity demand and electricity emissions intensity, 1990 – 2025, SEAI


      Ireland’s growing electricity demand increasingly shapes energy policy and infrastructure requirements and places increasing pressure on generation capacity, grid infrastructure, and system flexibility resources.

      As part of Ireland's Security of Electricity Supply Programme, 650 MW of dispatchable Temporary Emergency Generation (TEG) capacity became fully operational in 2025.

      While intended as a temporary measure, the cost of the TEG, borne by consumers, together with the retention of Moneypoint, has amounted to over €1.5 billion over the past four years, highlighting the cost of maintaining system adequacy while longer term infrastructure is delivered. 


      Record grid infrastructure investment


      In December 2025, the CRU's PR6 Final Determination approved up to €18.9 billion of investment in electricity networks between 2026 and 2030, with the baseline investment package representing an 80% increase versus PR5 outturn expenditure.

      As the largest grid investment programme in the State's history, PR6 reflects the scale of infrastructure required to support electrification, renewable integration, and economic growth in Ireland.  

      Against this backdrop, the timely delivery of the North-South Interconnector and Celtic Interconnector has also become increasingly important. Both projects are critical to strengthening security of supply, enabling greater integration of renewable generation and reducing system costs through enhanced interconnection with neighbouring markets.

      However, both projects experienced further delays in 2025, with the North-South interconnector delayed by a further three years to October 2031 and the Celtic interconnector now due to be energised in Q4 2028.

      These delays risk prolonging Ireland's reliance on imported fossil fuels, constraining renewable integration, and postponing the benefits of a more interconnected and resilient electricity system.  


      Figure 6. Ireland’s gas and electricity imports as a % of total supply, 2015 to 2025


      Plan-led green energy parks & Ireland’s industrial development 

      In December 2025, Government approved the drafting of legislation to implement the Private Wires Policy Framework, a key step towards unlocking private investment in electricity infrastructure and alleviating grid access constraints facing LEUs.

      In parallel, the CRU published its LEU Connection Policy Decision Paper, marking an end to the Dublin data centre connection moratorium and establishing a new framework for data centres connections to the electricity network.

      This was supported by the subsequent publication of implementation processes by EirGrid and ESB Networks, which set out how the policy would be operationalised in practice.  

      Together, these developments provide an important foundation for Ireland’s Large Energy User Action Plan (LEAP), published in January 2026, which lays out a 17-action strategy to drive a plan-led approach to the co-location of energy intensive industries with renewable energy resources.

      LEAP seeks to balance continued economic growth with system stability, security of supply and decarbonisation objectives.   


      Energy affordability challenges heighten 

      Ireland remained Europe's most expensive residential electricity market in 2025 based on nominal household electricity prices and ranked third highest when prices were adjusted to purchasing power standard (PPS**). While wholesale prices were significantly below the peaks observed during the 2022 energy crisis, they continued to exceed those of neighbouring markets.  


      Figure 7. European residential electricity prices after taxes and levies by Euro value and Purchasing Power Standard (PPS), 2025 H2 – Eurostat


      Ireland’s elevated electricity prices reflect a combination of structural and geographic factors. Ireland is more reliant on natural gas for power generation than most Western European markets, leaving consumers highly exposed to international gas price volatility.

      As an island system with limited interconnection, Ireland also faces higher fuel import and system costs compared to peer jurisdictions. Network costs are also a significant contributor in Ireland due to the dispersed population and large number of one-off, rural dwellings, which increase the cost of transmission and distribution infrastructure per customer.  

      Substantial investment is required to expand and modernise Ireland’s electricity system to accommodate demand growth and to integrate planned additional renewable electricity generation over the coming decade. As these costs are ultimately borne by consumers, efficient delivery of infrastructure is critical to achieving an affordable energy supply.  

      Furthermore, since 2021, approximately €1.5 billion has been spent on the CRU’s Security of Supply Programme, implemented to provide temporary emergency dispatchable capacity to address power system adequacy concerns, arising from rapid demand growth and an ageing fleet of gas-fired generation units with deteriorating reliability and performance.

      Further delays to the delivery of renewable electricity generators, storage, interconnection and network reinforcements will necessitate additional high-cost temporary generation to maintain supply security and address enduring adequacy challenges. 


      Forward outlook 

      As geopolitical tensions persist and energy policies becomes increasingly shaped by security, affordability and competitiveness concerns, countries will continue to pursue diverging pathways to the energy transition.

      While the technologies required to decarbonise energy systems are increasingly mature and commercially viable, the ability to efficiently deliver the supporting infrastructure and policy is emerging as the defining challenge. 

      Ireland's route to a more affordable, secure and sustainable energy system must reflect the realities of our geography, economy and islanded energy system and acknowledge the trade-offs of competing policies.

      The pathway to success is one which leverages our abundant renewable resources, maximises utilisation of existing assets, strengthens interconnection and improves the efficiency and cost-effectiveness with which energy projects are delivered. Ireland’s future depends on delivery. 


      Download South West 2040

      Divergent and disorderly: Mapping global energy trends in an increasingly volatile world

      (PDF, 2.48 MB)

      Our dedicated decarbonisation & sustainability advisory team

      Get in touch

      If you would like to discuss any of these topics in more detail, please contact:

      James Delahunt

      Partner, Corporate Finance, Head of Energy & Natural Resources

      KPMG in Ireland

      Terence McGovern

      Energy and Decarbonisation Lead

      KPMG in Ireland

      Russell Smyth

      Partner, Head of Sustainable Futures and Corporate Finance

      KPMG in Ireland

      Aoife Cahill

      Senior Consultant

      KPMG in Ireland


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