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      What structural changes are currently shaping the German property market – and how should companies respond? Our experts analyse this in the latest Real Estate Bulletin 1/2026. The main focus: property under stress. This issue highlights the factors that are crucial for investors, financiers, asset managers and project developers, both now and in the future – ranging from increased financing costs and cash flow requirements to due diligence processes and legal options. Readers are provided with a comprehensive overview of a market environment characterised by the transition from a period of low interest rates to a phase of structural adjustment pressure.

      The Property Market in 2026: The Current Market Environment

      The sector will continue to undergo a period of adjustment in 2026: high refinancing volumes (the ‘maturity wall’), rising interest rates and more selective lending are placing greater demands on cash flows, asset quality and data consistency. At the same time, pressure is mounting due to growing non-performing loan (NPL) portfolios in the commercial segment – that is, loans where interest or principal payments are overdue. This particularly affects the office and retail markets.

      Whilst the overall economic conditions are stabilising slightly, the recovery in the transaction market remains subdued. Banks are increasingly demanding robust performance metrics, transparent scenario analyses, and technical and financial valuations. Refinancing capacity is thus becoming a key strategic issue for market participants. 

      A brief overview of the topics covered in the Real Estate Bulletin 1/2026:

      • Refinancing under new terms: cash flow quality, covenants and scenario planning as key levers
      • Rising NPL risks and the ‘maturity wall’: how banks and borrowers are adapting their portfolio strategies
      • Financial and Technical Due Diligence: Transparency as a Key Factor for Financing, Risk Analysis and Investment Planning
      • Where is property financing heading? – Debt markets caught between selectivity, alternatives and structural change
      • Legal options for covenant breaches: Waiver, Amend & Extend and Cash Flow Control Mechanisms
      Refinancing is no longer a peripheral operational issue, but a key driver for the stability and performance of property portfolios. Transparency plays a decisive role here: companies today have to formulate their financing story more convincingly and more data-based than ever before.
      Rita Marie Roland
      Rita Marie Roland

      Partner, Financial Services, Head of Financial Services Real Estate Transactions

      The 2026 property market is characterised by an unprecedented combination of refinancing pressure, market uncertainty and structural change. Only those who adapt their portfolio and financing strategy now will be able to secure decisive competitive advantages.
      Frank Mäder
      Frank Mäder

      Director, Deal Advisory

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      Analysis, context and practical advice: our experts explain how refinancing, cash flows and structural risks are shaping the property market – and what businesses should be doing now.


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      KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft