26 February 2026, Hong Kong (SAR), China ("Hong Kong") – KPMG welcomes the Hong Kong SAR Government’s Budget, which marks a return to fiscal surplus and a renewed commitment to prudent fiscal management, competitiveness and long-term economic resilience. The Budget aligns closely with national development priorities and responds to global economic pressures by prioritising AI, talent and industrial development. Together, the measures support Hong Kong’s transition to high-quality, innovation-led growth and reinforce its position as an international financial, business and innovation centre.
Supported by stronger stamp duty and profits tax revenue, the Government forecasts a consolidated surplus of approximately HK$2.9 billion for 2025-26, reversing the previous fiscal deficit. The strategic use of bond issuance to fund long-term infrastructure and development projects reflects a balanced approach that maintains fiscal discipline while supporting future investment needs. Fiscal reserves are projected to reach approximately HK$657.2 billion as of the end of March 2026. In terms of the economic outlook, real GDP growth for 2026 is forecast to range from 2.5% to 3.5%. KPMG notes that reserves remain at a structurally healthy level to support Hong Kong’s long-term development needs.