The upcoming ICARAP is, for most firms, the first ICARAP to be subject to the 2022 EBA/ESMA Guidelines and the specification of the RTS. Both documents address the supervisor, and provide, amongst other things, guidance on determining the Pillar 2 capital. As such, these Guidelines are expected to indirectly impact investment firms by changing the supervisor’s approach to ICARAP.
There are two important elements to consider in the ICARAP preparation:
- For calculating the Pillar 2 requirement (P2R), the Guidelines introduce, under risks related to ongoing activities, a risk calculation for risks not (sufficiently) covered by the K-factors, mentioning assessment on RtC, RtM, RtF and other risks. Considering the EBA final RTS report, this could be interpreted as a sum of:
- Risks not fully captured by the K-factor requirements (but not lower than the K-factor requirements); and
- Other (elements of) risks not included in the K-factors (e.g., operational risk).
The DNB ICAAP guidance presents a perspective for the risk calculation that does not refer to IFR or K-factors, and potentially causes firms to misalign their risk calculation with supervisory expectations.
- While the current ICAAP Policy Rule guidance presents ICARAP capital as the highest of the wind-down scenario and risk calculation related to ongoing activities, the new Guidelines could position the ICARAP capital as the sum of Pillar 1 and the highest of the P2R from wind down or the P2R from the risk calculation. The EBA final RTS presents a calculation approach (slightly) closer to the DNB ICAAP Policy Rule.