Canadian companies engaged in U.S. trade are facing one of the most complex tariff environments in recent history. Earlier this year, the U.S. administration announced a sweeping 35% tariff on a broad range of Canadian imports, unless products qualify for duty-free status under the Canada-United States-Mexico Trade Agreement (CUSMA), among other trade measures. In addition, a recent U.S. court ruling has called into question the legal validity of certain tariffs, potentially exposing the U.S. government to nearly USD 100 billion in refund claims. Since the verdict is under appeal, tariffs remain in force. At the same time, Canada has adjusted its own position by removing many retaliatory tariffs while maintaining protections for strategic sectors (e.g., steel, aluminum, and the automotive industry). Canada has also introduced strategies and funds to support industries most affected by U.S. trade actions. These policy shifts are already reshaping supply chains and cost structures for Canadian exporters and their U.S. affiliates.
MNEs can use transfer pricing as an effective tool to mitigate the financial impact of tariffs and preserve competitiveness in cross-border supply chains. For example, when U.S. tariffs increase the price of Canadian exports, MNEs can redesign their transfer pricing structures to reduce the transfer price on goods shipped to the United States, thereby lowering the value of the goods for customs purposes and the associated tariff, while ensuring that the U.S. distributor earns an arm's-length profit margin. This strategy, however, is not a one-size-fits-all solution; it requires robust functional and value/supply chain analysis, updated benchmarking studies, and careful financial modelling to satisfy both the CRA and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) while remaining compliant with U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) rules. Since any changes to the functional profile or supply chain will have long-term implications, MNEs should consider whether the proposed changes can serve broader business needs, rather than just mitigating tariffs.
As the current tax year draws to a close, many MNEs must decide which entity should bear the financial impact of tariffs. Without structured transfer pricing policies, companies risk overpaying duties without recourse to refunds. By preparing robust transfer pricing modelling and supporting documentation, including embedding adjustment clauses into intercompany agreements, businesses may withstand audit scrutiny from both tax and customs authorities.
The strategic role of transfer pricing now extends beyond tariff mitigation to broader supply chain planning. Many Canadian MNEs are reassessing where they manufacture, where they hold intellectual property, and how they distribute their goods to their foreign customers — directly or through an intermediary. Businesses should consider conducting modelling to quantify the financial impact of different supply chain scenarios and identify opportunities to unbundle non-dutiable costs (such as royalties, services, marketing expenses, or freight) from the customs value of imported goods. This approach creates immediate savings while maintaining compliance. Businesses can also leverage mechanisms such as the CBP’s Reconciliation Program, which allows post-import adjustments to declared customs values when appropriately documented in advance. The program is particularly relevant now, as litigation outcomes could retroactively alter tariff liabilities.
In today’s volatile trade climate, robust planning and documentation have never been more critical. Canadian businesses that treat transfer pricing purely as a compliance function risk leaving significant value on the table or worse, exposing themselves to double taxation, denied duty refunds, and operational inefficiencies.