Value in use
IFRS requires lessors to use a pre-tax discount rate for the value in use calculation. This is the return that investors would require if they were to choose an investment that would generate cash flows of amounts, timing and risk profile equivalent to those that the entity expects to derive from the aircraft.
The discount rate used to measure an aircraft's value in use should not reflect risks for which the future cash flow estimates have been adjusted. Otherwise, the effect of some assumptions will be double-counted.
From a lessor’s perspective as there may not be an asset specific rate directly available in the market, and so a starting point in estimating the aircraft’s discount rate could be the entity’s weighted average cost of capital using for example the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Other factors to take into account are the entity’s incremental borrowing rate and other market borrowing rates.
The discount rate should then be adjusted to reflect the way that the market would assess the specific risks associated with the aircraft’s estimated cashflows, this should exclude risks that are not relevant to the aircraft's estimated cash flows or for which the estimated cash flows have already been adjusted.
Another key factor for lessors to consider in their value in use calculation is the contracted return condition of the aircraft on its current lease. There are several key judgements and estimates management are required to make in relation to forecasting utilisation of the aircraft, the timing of future maintenance events, and the costs of those events including the expected impact of inflation. This is applicable to both maintenance paying lessees and end of lease payers.
Where a lessor is assuming a sale at the end of the current contracted lease, the forecasted maintenance condition of the aircraft must be factored into the estimated sales price. In addition, lessors must also consider the impact of lease modifications and amendments on future cashflows. The maintenance condition of an aircraft can have a significant impact on the value.
For lessors that are assuming follow on leases from their current contracted lease, this can be more difficult to estimate given the inherent uncertainty particularly in determining the expected utilisation of the aircraft.
A starting point for lessors in estimating the assumed future utilisation for follow on leases may be historical averages for the aircraft or the aircraft type.