The unprecedented combination of uncertainties, risks, and volatility call for deeper board engagement in strategy and evolving business contexts. The Trump administration’s policy positions on tariffs, trade, immigration, tax, and regulation more generally are reshaping the economic, geopolitical, and risk landscape—leading to action and reaction elsewhere around the globe. Meanwhile, Europe is facing ongoing geopolitical challenges, internal political fragmentation, and a renewed push for strategic autonomy in defense, digital, and economic domains. EU leaders are focused on strengthening the bloc's role in a volatile world, particularly amid uncertainty over the transatlantic relationship and ongoing security threats. At the same time continuing military conflicts in Ukraine add to the complexities. Risks related to cybersecurity, extreme weather, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI), Agentic AI, and other new technologies (such as quantum computing) continue to pose major challenges for companies.
In this environment, boards play a pivotal role by actively engaging in strategy and promoting agility and resilience. A fundamental question is how the board’s role in strategy should evolve to adopt more rigorous forward-looking governance practices. Our discussions with directors have highlighted several practices that may be helpful:
Develop a vivid picture of possible future scenarios.
This is never an easy undertaking, and it is particularly challenging given the transformational changes underway. Make time for the board to have meaningful “what-if” discussions in a focused and urgent way—opportunities and risks related to AI, human capital, and supply chain should be front and center. Where are the company’s industry and competition headed? What might the business look and feel like in 2, 5, or 10 years?
Scenario planning remains critical.
Robust scenario planning can help companies make informed decisions and prepare for potential disruptions. The board should help ensure that the scenario planning process is properly resourced with the right data and expertise, management maintains a broad perspective, relevant context is considered, the process remains iterative, and outside views are heard.
Make risk, crisis planning, and resilience part of the discussion.
No strategic plan can anticipate every risk that might hinder a company trying to achieve its strategic objectives, and adjustments to strategy may be needed as conditions change. Help management reassess the company’s processes for continually identifying the risks and opportunities posed by disruption—geopolitical, economic, technological/digital, social, and environmental—and the impact on the company’s strategy and related capital allocation decisions.
Does management have an effective process to monitor changes in the external environment and provide early warning that adjustments to strategy might be necessary? That process should include risk management, business continuity, crisis planning, and resilience. It calls for frequent updating of the company’s risk profile, stress testing strategic assumptions, analyzing downside scenarios, considering the interrelationship of risks, and obtaining independent third-party perspectives.
Balance the focus on short-term agility and long-term vision.
While it is important to remain responsive to immediate, short-term risks and uncertainties, boards must help guard against short-termism. A focus on the long-term is vital to organizational endurance and value creation.