A global financial downturn is on the horizon, driven by high inflation, the Russia-Ukraine war, volatility in energy markets, and supply chain disruptions. In the KPMG 2022 U.S. CEO Outlook (released in Q4’22), 91 percent of U.S. CEOs are convinced we are heading toward a recession in the next 12 months.1 Opinions differ about the severity and length of the recession, with only a third of the U.S. CEOs (34 percent) believing that it will be mild and short.
Additionally, U.S. inflation is at its highest rate in 40 years.2 Inflation rates are expected to remain elevated for much of the year, and the Federal Reserve is raising rates at the fastest pace since the 1990s.3
All this means the CFO needs to take a proactive role as the leader of business sustainability and transformation efforts. Facing the prospects of a significant downturn this year or the next, the CFO needs to ‘play offense’ and start thinking today about cost optimization, including clearly defined goals and individual assignments to help ensure accountability, while still supporting long-term strategies for future growth that align the company's core value drivers with business process.